⚽ Ligue 2

Rodez vs Grenoble Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rodez vs Grenoble in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 11 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Rodez face Grenoble in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 11 September 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Rodez have 2 wins from their last 5, while Grenoble have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rodez win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 2.1-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rodez vs Grenoble with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.73

69%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.10 – 1.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.9%	4.2%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%
1	6.0%	8.7%	6.3%	3.1%	1.1%
2	6.3%	9.2%	6.7%	3.2%	1.2%
3	4.4%	6.4%	4.7%	2.3%	0.8%
4	2.3%	3.4%	2.4%	1.2%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Rodez winDrawGrenoble win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rodez vs Grenoble is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.73, the selection our model is most confident in at 69%. On the match result, the model rates a Rodez win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.73, 69% model probability, +19.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Rodez 51%Draw 23%Grenoble 26%

51%23%26%

51%

Rodez Win

69%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

+19.1%

Best value: Over 2.5

📈 Recent form

Rodez

Rodez come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Nantes. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Metz.

LMetz 4-1 RodezLigue 2
DRodez 2-2 PAULigue 2
WNantes 2-5 RodezLigue 2
LAnnecy 2-0 RodezLigue 2
WRodez 3-1 LavalLigue 2

Grenoble

Grenoble come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Laval. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Annecy.

LGrenoble 1-2 AnnecyLigue 2
WLaval 0-3 GrenobleLigue 2
LSaint Etienne 4-0 GrenobleLigue 2
DGrenoble 0-0 MetzLigue 2
LDunkerque 4-2 GrenobleLigue 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rodez at 51% to win and Grenoble at 26%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Rodez win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Grenoble Win	26%	@ 4.80	+25.0%
Draw	23%	@ 3.80	-12.0%
Rodez Win	51%	@ 1.67	-15.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Grenoble or Draw at 2.06 (50% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Grenoble or Draw	50%	@ 2.06	+3.3%
Rodez or Draw	75%	@ 1.15	-13.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	47%	@ 2.88	+36.5%
Over 2.5	69%	@ 1.73	+19.1%
Over 1.5	87%	@ 1.21	+5.2%
Under 3.5	53%	@ 1.35	-29.0%
Under 2.5	31%	@ 1.95	-39.2%
Under 1.5	13%	@ 3.85	-49.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	67%	@ 1.71	+15.1%
BTTS No	33%	@ 1.95	-36.2%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	62%
Dixon-Coles	Home	39%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.59 for the home side, 1.05 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rodez vs Grenoble?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.73, with 69% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Rodez vs Grenoble?

Our model makes a Rodez win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline for Rodez vs Grenoble.

What is the predicted score for Rodez vs Grenoble?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.10 for Rodez and 1.45 for Grenoble. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rodez and Grenoble play?

Kick-off is Friday 11 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.