⚽ Premier League

Liverpool vs Fulham Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Liverpool vs Fulham in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Liverpool face Fulham in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Liverpool have 1 win from their last 3, while Fulham have 0 wins from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Liverpool won 2, Fulham won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 2.0-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Liverpool vs Fulham with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.73

63%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.98 – 1.08 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	5.1%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
1	9.3%	10.0%	5.4%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.2%	9.9%	5.4%	1.9%	0.5%
3	6.1%	6.6%	3.5%	1.3%	0.3%
4	3.0%	3.2%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Liverpool winDrawFulham win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Liverpool vs Fulham is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.73, the selection our model is most confident in at 63%. On the match result, the model rates a Liverpool win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.73, 63% model probability, +9.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Liverpool 57%Draw 26%Fulham 17%

57%26%17%

57%

Liverpool Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

+9.7%

Best value: Under 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Liverpool and Fulham. Wins shown from Liverpool’s perspective: Liverpool 2 · 2 drawn · Fulham 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-11	Liverpool	2 – 0	Fulham	W
2026-01-04	Fulham	2 – 2	Liverpool	D
2025-04-06	Fulham	3 – 2	Liverpool	L
2024-12-14	Liverpool	2 – 2	Fulham	D
2024-04-21	Fulham	1 – 3	Liverpool	W

📈 Recent form

Liverpool

Liverpool come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Ipswich. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WLiverpool 2-1 Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League
WIpswich 0-2 LiverpoolPremier League
DLiverpool 2-2 Nottingham ForestPremier League
DNewcastle 2-2 LiverpoolPremier League
WLiverpool 2-0 ComoFriendlies Clubs

Fulham

Fulham come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to AFC Wimbledon. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Crystal Palace.

LFulham 2-3 Crystal PalacePremier League
LSunderland 1-0 FulhamPremier League
WFulham 3-0 AFC WimbledonLeague Cup
LFulham 2-3 ChelseaPremier League
WFulham 1-0 VfB StuttgartFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Liverpool

C. BradleyKnee Injury
F. ChiesaBack Injury
H. EkitikeAchilles Tendon Injury
G. LeoniKnee Injury
B. BarcolaInjury
C. GakpoMuscle Injury
J. GomezMuscle Injury
M. KerkezInjury

Fulham

T. CairneyKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Liverpool at 57% to win and Fulham at 17%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	26%	@ 5.00	+28.8%
Fulham Win	17%	@ 6.00	+4.3%
Liverpool Win	57%	@ 1.45	-17.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fulham or Draw at 2.62 (42% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Fulham or Draw	42%	@ 2.62	+9.3%
Liverpool or Draw	81%	@ 1.12	-9.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	41%	@ 2.75	+12.7%
Under 3.5	63%	@ 1.73	+9.7%
Under 1.5	19%	@ 5.50	+4.7%
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.14	-7.7%
Over 2.5	59%	@ 1.44	-15.0%
Over 3.5	37%	@ 2.10	-23.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	43%	@ 2.20	-6.0%
BTTS Yes	57%	@ 1.62	-7.2%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Fulham?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.73, with 63% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Liverpool vs Fulham?

Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline for Liverpool vs Fulham.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Fulham?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.98 for Liverpool and 1.08 for Fulham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Liverpool and Fulham play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.