⚽ Premier League

Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bournemouth vs Brentford in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Bournemouth face Brentford in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Bournemouth have 0 wins from their last 3, while Brentford have 1 win from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Brentford won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bournemouth vs Brentford with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Bournemouth or Draw @ 1.44

73%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 1.30 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	8.1%	5.3%	2.3%	0.7%
1	9.2%	12.0%	7.8%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.8%	8.8%	5.7%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.3%	4.3%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.2%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bournemouth winDrawBrentford win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bournemouth vs Brentford is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Bournemouth or Draw at odds 1.44, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates a Bournemouth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57 (+9.7% model value).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.57, 70% model probability, +9.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Bournemouth 47%Draw 27%Brentford 26%

47%27%26%

47%

Bournemouth Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

+9.7%

Best value: Under 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Bournemouth and Brentford. Wins shown from Bournemouth’s perspective: 1 drawn · Brentford 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-03	Bournemouth	0 – 0	Brentford	D
2025-12-27	Brentford	4 – 1	Bournemouth	L
2025-03-15	Bournemouth	1 – 2	Brentford	L
2024-11-09	Brentford	3 – 2	Bournemouth	L
2024-05-11	Bournemouth	1 – 2	Brentford	L

📈 Recent form

Bournemouth

Bournemouth come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Lincoln. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Manchester City.

WBournemouth 4-0 LincolnLeague Cup
DNewcastle 2-2 BournemouthPremier League
DBournemouth 1-1 EvertonPremier League
LManchester City 2-1 BournemouthPremier League
LFSV Mainz 05 2-1 BournemouthFriendlies Clubs

Brentford

Brentford come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 18 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at home to Eintracht Frankfurt. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DBrentford 1-1 SunderlandPremier League
DLeeds 1-1 BrentfordPremier League
WBirmingham 1-6 BrentfordLeague Cup
WBrentford 3-0 TottenhamPremier League
WBrentford 7-0 Eintracht FrankfurtFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bournemouth at 47% to win and Brentford at 26%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Bournemouth Win	47%	@ 2.50	+18.2%
Draw	27%	@ 3.60	-3.9%
Brentford Win	26%	@ 2.70	-29.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bournemouth or Draw at 1.44 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Bournemouth or Draw	73%	@ 1.44	+5.6%
Brentford or Draw	52%	@ 1.50	-21.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	24%	@ 5.00	+18.1%
Under 3.5	70%	@ 1.57	+9.7%
Under 2.5	48%	@ 2.30	+9.6%
Over 1.5	76%	@ 1.17	-10.6%
Over 2.5	52%	@ 1.62	-15.2%
Over 3.5	30%	@ 2.38	-28.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	43%	@ 2.50	+8.6%
BTTS Yes	57%	@ 1.50	-15.1%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Brentford?

Our main pick is Bournemouth or Draw at odds 1.44, with 73% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 3.5 goals at 1.57 (+9.7% value).

Who is the favourite for Bournemouth vs Brentford?

Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Bournemouth vs Brentford.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Brentford?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for Bournemouth and 1.30 for Brentford. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bournemouth and Brentford play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.