⚽ Segunda División

Cadiz vs Las Palmas Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cadiz vs Las Palmas in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Cadiz face Las Palmas in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Cadiz have 0 wins from their last 4, while Las Palmas have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 3 meetings, Las Palmas won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.2-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cadiz vs Las Palmas with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.28

81%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.22 – 1.84 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	8.6%	7.9%	4.9%	2.2%
1	5.7%	10.5%	9.7%	5.9%	2.7%
2	3.5%	6.4%	5.9%	3.6%	1.7%
3	1.4%	2.6%	2.4%	1.5%	0.7%
4	0.4%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Cadiz winDrawLas Palmas win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cadiz vs Las Palmas is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates a Las Palmas win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Las Palmas win at odds 2.60 (+34.3% model value).

Best value

Las Palmas Win at odds 2.60, 52% model probability, +34.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Cadiz 26%Draw 22%Las Palmas 52%

26%22%52%

52%

Las Palmas Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

+34.3%

Best value: Las Palmas Win

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Cadiz and Las Palmas. Wins shown from Cadiz’s perspective: 2 drawn · Las Palmas 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-27	Cadiz	1 – 2	Las Palmas	L
2024-05-19	Cadiz	0 – 0	Las Palmas	D
2023-12-17	Las Palmas	1 – 1	Cadiz	D

📈 Recent form

Cadiz

Cadiz come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Granada CF. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Almeria.

LAlmeria 3-2 CadizSegunda División
DCadiz 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
DEldense 2-2 CadizSegunda División
WCadiz 2-0 Granada CFFriendlies Clubs
LCadiz 1-3 AD Ceuta FCFriendlies Clubs

Las Palmas

Las Palmas come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at AD Ceuta FC. Their most recent defeat was 2-5 at Girona.

DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
LGirona 5-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
WAD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
WLas Palmas 2-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
LLas Palmas 0-1 NEOMFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cadiz at 26% to win and Las Palmas at 52%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Las Palmas win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Las Palmas Win	52%	@ 2.60	+34.3%
Draw	22%	@ 3.15	-30.3%
Cadiz Win	26%	@ 2.48	-35.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Las Palmas or Draw at 1.44 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Las Palmas or Draw	75%	@ 1.44	+8.3%
Cadiz or Draw	50%	@ 1.40	-30.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	37%	@ 3.45	+26.3%
Over 2.5	59%	@ 1.94	+14.5%
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.28	+3.6%
Under 3.5	63%	@ 1.26	-20.1%
Under 2.5	41%	@ 1.75	-28.3%
Under 1.5	19%	@ 3.25	-38.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	57%	@ 1.70	-2.4%
BTTS No	43%	@ 1.95	-17.0%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cadiz vs Las Palmas?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with 81% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Las Palmas win at 2.60 (+34.3% value).

Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Las Palmas?

Our model makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.8 scoreline for Cadiz vs Las Palmas.

What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs Las Palmas?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.22 for Cadiz and 1.84 for Las Palmas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cadiz and Las Palmas play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.