⚽ Serie B

Benevento vs Hellas Verona Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Benevento vs Hellas Verona in the Serie B. Kick-off Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Benevento face Hellas Verona in the Serie B, kicking off Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Benevento vs Hellas Verona with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Benevento or Draw @ 1.53

73%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 1.04 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	8.5%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%
1	11.9%	12.4%	6.5%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.8%	9.1%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.3%	4.5%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Benevento winDrawHellas Verona win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Benevento vs Hellas Verona is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Benevento or Draw at odds 1.53, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (50%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

54%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Benevento

Benevento come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Fiorentina. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Ascoli.

LAscoli 1-0 BeneventoSerie B
DBenevento 1-1 SudtirolSerie B
LBenevento 1-2 ModenaSerie B
WBenevento 4-1 FiorentinaCoppa Italia
WBenevento 5-3 RavennaCoppa Italia

Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Arezzo. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Ascoli.

WHellas Verona 5-0 ArezzoSerie B
WCagliari 1-2 Hellas VeronaCoppa Italia
DPadova 1-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
LHellas Verona 1-2 AscoliSerie B
DHellas Verona 2-2 Virtus EntellaCoppa Italia

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Benevento or Draw at 1.53 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Benevento or Draw	73%	@ 1.53	n/a
Hellas Verona or Draw	53%	@ 1.32	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	72%	@ 1.32	n/a
Under 1.5	28%	@ 3.10	n/a
Over 2.5	46%	@ 2.00	n/a
Under 2.5	54%	@ 1.68	n/a
Over 3.5	24%	@ 3.70	n/a
Under 3.5	76%	@ 1.23	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.77	n/a
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.87	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	47%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.53 for the home side, 1.10 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benevento vs Hellas Verona?

Our main pick is Benevento or Draw at odds 1.53, with 73% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Hellas Verona?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for Benevento and 1.04 for Hellas Verona. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Benevento and Hellas Verona play?

Kick-off is Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.