⚽ Championship

Charlton vs Portsmouth Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlton vs Portsmouth in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Charlton face Portsmouth in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Charlton have 3 wins from their last 5, while Portsmouth have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charlton win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlton vs Portsmouth with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.37

81%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.70 – 1.36 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	6.4%	4.3%	2.0%	0.7%
1	8.0%	10.8%	7.4%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.8%	9.2%	6.3%	2.8%	1.0%
3	3.8%	5.2%	3.6%	1.6%	0.5%
4	1.6%	2.2%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Charlton winDrawPortsmouth win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Charlton vs Portsmouth is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.37, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates a Charlton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.20 (+29.8% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 2.20, 59% model probability, +29.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Charlton 39%Draw 29%Portsmouth 32%

39%29%32%

39%

Charlton Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

+29.8%

Best value: Over 2.5

📈 Recent form

Charlton

Charlton come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Preston. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Stoke City.

DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
LStoke City 4-0 CharltonChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship
WCharlton 1-0 PrestonChampionship
LTottenham 5-1 CharltonLeague Cup

Portsmouth

Portsmouth come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Cardiff. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Derby.

WPortsmouth 2-0 CardiffChampionship
LPortsmouth 0-2 DerbyChampionship
LBristol City 2-1 PortsmouthChampionship
WLincoln 1-3 PortsmouthChampionship
LPortsmouth 1-3 QPRChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 15 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Charlton

J. EdwardsAnkle Injury
M. GoddenMuscle Injury
C. KelmanShoulder Injury
B. KoumetioMuscle Injury
W. MannionShoulder Injury
K. RamsayAnkle Injury
C. SichenjeKnee Injury
N. ChalobahMuscle Injury

Portsmouth

K. AndersonMuscle Injury
M. KosznovszkyKnee Injury
J. MurphyInjury
C. OgilvieKnee Injury
F. UmehHamstring Injury
T. WaddinghamAnkle Injury
J. FarrellGroin Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Charlton at 39% to win and Portsmouth at 32%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Charlton win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Charlton Win	39%	@ 2.48	-3.2%
Draw	29%	@ 3.15	-8.5%
Portsmouth Win	32%	@ 2.85	-9.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlton or Draw at 1.40 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Charlton or Draw	67%	@ 1.40	-6.6%
Portsmouth or Draw	60%	@ 1.50	-10.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	37%	@ 4.10	+50.1%
Over 2.5	59%	@ 2.20	+29.8%
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.37	+10.9%
Under 3.5	63%	@ 1.20	-23.9%
Under 2.5	41%	@ 1.62	-33.6%
Under 1.5	19%	@ 2.90	-44.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	61%	@ 1.87	+14.7%
BTTS No	39%	@ 1.84	-28.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlton vs Portsmouth?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.37, with 81% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.20 (+29.8% value).

Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Portsmouth?

Our model makes a Charlton win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Charlton vs Portsmouth.

What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Portsmouth?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Charlton and 1.36 for Portsmouth. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Charlton and Portsmouth play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.