⚽ Championship
Charlton vs Portsmouth Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlton vs Portsmouth in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Charlton 0-0 Portsmouth
Charlton vs Portsmouth finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.37, did not land.
Charlton face Portsmouth in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Charlton have 3 wins from their last 5, while Portsmouth have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charlton win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlton vs Portsmouth with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Charlton vs Portsmouth comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Charlton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Charlton come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Cardiff.
- LCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship
- DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
- DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
- LStoke City 4-0 CharltonChampionship
- DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship
Portsmouth come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Cardiff. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Derby.
- DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
- DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
- WPortsmouth 2-0 CardiffChampionship
- LPortsmouth 0-2 DerbyChampionship
- LBristol City 2-1 PortsmouthChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 14 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. ChalobahMuscle Injury
- J. EdwardsAnkle Injury
- M. GoddenMuscle Injury
- B. KoumetioMuscle Injury
- W. MannionShoulder Injury
- K. RamsayAnkle Injury
- C. SichenjeKnee Injury
- K. AndersonMuscle Injury
- L. Brooke-SmithAnkle Injury
- M. KosznovszkyKnee Injury
- J. MurphyInjury
- C. OgilvieKnee Injury
- F. UmehHamstring Injury
- T. WaddinghamAnkle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Charlton at 39% to win and Portsmouth at 32%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Charlton win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Win | 39% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
| Portsmouth Win | 32% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlton or Draw at 1.40 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton or Draw | 67% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Portsmouth or Draw | 60% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 68% | @ 1.37 |
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 77% | @ 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 32% | @ 2.90 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 50% | @ 1.87 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 50% | @ 1.84 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Charlton or Portsmouth is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton +1.75 | 88% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Charlton +1.5 | 86% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Portsmouth +1.5 | 81% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Charlton +1.25 | 81% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Charlton +1 | 76% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Portsmouth +1.25 | 76% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Charlton +0.75 | 72% | 69% | 1.39 |
| Portsmouth +1 | 70% | 82% | 1.17 |
| Charlton +0.5 | 67% | 62% | @ 1.54 |
| Portsmouth +0.75 | 65% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Charlton +0.25 | 60% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Portsmouth +0.5 | 60% | 67% | 1.42 |
| Charlton 0 | 54% | 46% | @ 2.11 |
| Portsmouth +0.25 | 53% | 62% | 1.54 |
| Charlton -0.25 | 47% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
| Portsmouth 0 | 46% | 54% | 1.79 |
| Charlton -0.5 | 40% | 33% | @ 2.91 |
| Portsmouth -0.25 | 40% | 45% | 2.13 |
| Charlton -0.75 | 35% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
| Portsmouth -0.5 | 33% | 38% | 2.48 |
| Charlton -1 | 30% | 18% | @ 5.40 |
| Portsmouth -0.75 | 28% | 31% | 3.06 |
| Charlton -1.25 | 24% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Portsmouth -1 | 24% | 22% | @ 4.28 |
| Portsmouth -1.25 | 19% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Charlton -1.5 | 19% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Portsmouth -1.5 | 14% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Portsmouth -1.75 | 12% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Charlton vs Portsmouth?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.
Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Portsmouth?
Our model makes a Charlton win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Charlton vs Portsmouth.
What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Portsmouth?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Charlton and 1.36 for Portsmouth. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Charlton and Portsmouth play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Benevento
Catanzaro
Ascoli
Sampdoria
Cesena
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Vicenza Virtus
Modena
Mantova
CremoneseAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.