⚽ Championship

Blackburn vs Millwall Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Blackburn vs Millwall in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Blackburn face Millwall in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Blackburn have 1 win from their last 5, while Millwall have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Blackburn won 2, Millwall won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Blackburn vs Millwall with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.28

82%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.13 – 1.07 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	11.9%	6.3%	2.3%	0.6%
1	12.5%	13.4%	7.2%	2.6%	0.7%
2	7.1%	7.6%	4.0%	1.4%	0.4%
3	2.7%	2.9%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.8%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-1

Blackburn winDrawMillwall win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Blackburn vs Millwall is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. On the match result, the model rates a Blackburn win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.79 (+11.5% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.79, 62% model probability, +11.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Blackburn 38%Draw 29%Millwall 34%

38%29%34%

38%

Blackburn Win

62%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS no

+11.5%

Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Blackburn and Millwall. Wins shown from Blackburn’s perspective: Blackburn 2 · 1 drawn · Millwall 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-04-18	Blackburn	4 – 1	Millwall	W
2024-12-21	Millwall	1 – 0	Blackburn	L
2024-03-05	Blackburn	1 – 1	Millwall	D
2023-10-24	Millwall	1 – 2	Blackburn	W

📈 Recent form

Blackburn

Blackburn come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Sheffield Utd.

LBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
DLincoln 0-0 BlackburnChampionship
LBlackburn 1-2 QPRChampionship
LBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdLeague Cup

Millwall

Millwall come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Bolton. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Newcastle.

LMillwall 0-1 NewcastleLeague Cup
WMillwall 4-0 BoltonChampionship
LMillwall 0-3 WrexhamChampionship
LSouthampton 5-1 MillwallChampionship
WCambridge United 0-1 MillwallLeague Cup

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 20 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Blackburn

M. BaradjiHamstring Injury
M. JorgensenHamstring Injury
A. KargboMuscle Injury
M. LitherlandMuscle Injury
L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
Y. OhashiNot in squad
S. WhartonAchilles Tendon Injury

Millwall

J. CoburnMuscle Injury
T. CramaNot in squad
L. CundleNot in squad
C. De NorreInjury
A. DoughtyHamstring Injury
M. IvanovicHamstring Injury
L. JensenNot in squad
J. MetcalfeSuspended (red card)

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Blackburn at 38% to win and Millwall at 34%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Blackburn Win	38%	@ 2.95	+11.2%
Draw	29%	@ 3.30	-5.0%
Millwall Win	34%	@ 2.30	-22.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Blackburn or Draw at 1.58 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Blackburn or Draw	65%	@ 1.58	+3.1%
Millwall or Draw	61%	@ 1.37	-16.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	36%	@ 3.40	+20.6%
Under 2.5	62%	@ 1.79	+11.5%
Under 3.5	82%	@ 1.28	+4.9%
Over 1.5	64%	@ 1.28	-17.4%
Over 2.5	38%	@ 1.93	-27.2%
Over 3.5	18%	@ 3.40	-38.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	55%	@ 2.02	+10.6%
BTTS Yes	45%	@ 1.71	-22.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Millwall?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with 82% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.79 (+11.5% value).

Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Millwall?

Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline for Blackburn vs Millwall.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Millwall?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.13 for Blackburn and 1.07 for Millwall. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Blackburn and Millwall play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.