⚽ Segunda División

Girona vs Castellón Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Girona vs Castellón in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Girona face Castellón in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Girona have 2 wins from their last 4, while Castellón have 3 wins from their last 4. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Girona vs Castellón with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.35

65%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.51 – 1.49 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	7.4%	5.5%	2.7%	1.0%
1	7.5%	11.2%	8.3%	4.1%	1.5%
2	5.7%	8.5%	6.3%	3.1%	1.2%
3	2.9%	4.3%	3.2%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.1%	1.6%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Girona winDrawCastellón win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Girona vs Castellón is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 65%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

58%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Girona

Girona come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Las Palmas. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Cordoba.

WSporting Gijon 0-2 GironaSegunda División
WGirona 5-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
LCordoba 2-1 GironaSegunda División
DGirona 1-1 LeganesSegunda División
DGimnastic 1-1 GironaFriendlies Clubs

Castellón

Castellón come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Albacete. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Levante.

WCastellón 2-0 AlbaceteSegunda División
DCastellón 0-0 SabadellSegunda División
LCastellón 1-3 LevanteFriendlies Clubs
LAlaves 3-0 CastellónFriendlies Clubs
DGirona 3-3 CastellónFriendlies Clubs

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Girona or Draw at 1.28 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Girona or Draw	64%	@ 1.28	n/a
Castellón or Draw	63%	@ 1.64	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	80%	@ 1.21	n/a
Under 1.5	20%	@ 3.85	n/a
Over 2.5	58%	@ 1.74	n/a
Under 2.5	42%	@ 1.95	n/a
Over 3.5	35%	@ 2.90	n/a
Under 3.5	65%	@ 1.35	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	60%	@ 1.60	n/a
BTTS No	40%	@ 2.10	n/a

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Girona vs Castellón?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with 65% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Girona vs Castellón?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.51 for Girona and 1.49 for Castellón. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Girona and Castellón play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.