⚽ Serie B

Avellino vs Palermo Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Avellino vs Palermo in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Avellino face Palermo in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Avellino have 2 wins from their last 3, while Palermo have 3 wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Avellino win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.2-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Avellino vs Palermo with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Avellino or Draw @ 1.57

67%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.24 – 1.03 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	10.6%	5.5%	1.9%	0.5%
1	12.8%	13.2%	6.8%	2.3%	0.6%
2	7.9%	8.2%	4.2%	1.4%	0.4%
3	3.3%	3.4%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-1

Avellino winDrawPalermo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Avellino vs Palermo is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Avellino or Draw at odds 1.57, the selection our model is most confident in at 67%. On the match result, the model rates an Avellino win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points no (60%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 1.80 (+8.4% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 1.80, 60% model probability, +8.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Avellino 41%Draw 26%Palermo 33%

41%26%33%

41%

Avellino Win

60%

Under 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS no

+8.4%

Best value: BTTS No

📈 Recent form

Avellino

Avellino come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Vicenza Virtus. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Arezzo.

WModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B
WAvellino 3-0 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
LAvellino 1-2 ArezzoSerie B
LMonza 3-0 AvellinoCoppa Italia
LLazio 6-3 AvellinoFriendlies Clubs

Palermo

Palermo come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Mantova. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WPalermo 3-1 SampdoriaSerie B
WPalermo 5-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
WArezzo 2-3 PalermoSerie B
WPalermo 1-0 Juve StabiaSerie B
WPalermo 2-0 LecceCoppa Italia

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Avellino at 41% to win and Palermo at 33%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an Avellino win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Avellino Win	41%	@ 3.70	+50.5%
Draw	26%	@ 3.10	-18.6%
Palermo Win	33%	@ 2.05	-32.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Avellino or Draw at 1.57 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Avellino or Draw	67%	@ 1.57	+5.2%
Palermo or Draw	59%	@ 1.36	-19.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	34%	@ 3.00	+1.3%
Under 3.5	80%	@ 1.22	-1.7%
Under 2.5	60%	@ 1.62	-2.2%
Over 1.5	66%	@ 1.36	-9.9%
Over 2.5	40%	@ 2.25	-10.9%
Over 3.5	20%	@ 4.00	-22.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	60%	@ 1.80	+8.4%
BTTS Yes	40%	@ 1.95	-22.4%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avellino vs Palermo?

Our main pick is Avellino or Draw at odds 1.57, with 67% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 1.80 (+8.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Avellino vs Palermo?

Our model makes an Avellino win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.0 scoreline for Avellino vs Palermo.

What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Palermo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.24 for Avellino and 1.03 for Palermo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Avellino and Palermo play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.