Mantova

Sun 13 Sep2-0Finished

Sampdoria

⚽ Serie B

Mantova vs Sampdoria Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mantova vs Sampdoria in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Mantova 2-0 Sampdoria

Mantova vs Sampdoria finished 2-0. Mantova won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Mantova or Draw at 1.28, landed.

Mantova face Sampdoria in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Mantova have 2 wins from their last 3, while Sampdoria have no wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Mantova win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.8-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mantova vs Sampdoria with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.36

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.79 – 1.08 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	6.1%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%
1	10.1%	11.0%	5.9%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.1%	9.8%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.4%	5.9%	3.2%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.4%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Mantova winDrawSampdoria win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mantova vs Sampdoria comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Mantova win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Mantova 54%Draw 23%Sampdoria 23%

54%23%23%

54%

Mantova Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Mantova

Mantova come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Sampdoria. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-5 at Palermo.

DMantova 2-2 PisaSerie B
WMantova 2-0 SampdoriaSerie B
DCesena 1-1 MantovaSerie B
LPalermo 5-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
WMantova 3-1 EmpoliSerie B

Sampdoria

Sampdoria come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Catanzaro. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Mantova.

WSampdoria 2-1 CatanzaroSerie B
LMantova 2-0 SampdoriaSerie B
LPalermo 3-1 SampdoriaSerie B
LSampdoria 1-2 Juve StabiaSerie B
DCesena 1-1 SampdoriaSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Mantova at 54% to win and Sampdoria at 23%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Mantova win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mantova Win	54%	45%	@ 2.10
Draw	23%	30%	@ 3.10
Sampdoria Win	23%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mantova or Draw at 1.28 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mantova or Draw	78%	75%	@ 1.28
Sampdoria or Draw	47%	55%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	69%	@ 1.36
Under 3.5	68%	75%	@ 1.25
Over 2.5	55%	44%	@ 2.15
Under 2.5	45%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	32%	25%	@ 3.75
Under 1.5	22%	31%	@ 3.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS No	46%	50%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Mantova 44%Draw 30%Sampdoria 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mantova vs Sampdoria?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for Mantova vs Sampdoria?

Our model makes a Mantova win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline for Mantova vs Sampdoria.

What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Sampdoria?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.79 for Mantova and 1.08 for Sampdoria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mantova and Sampdoria play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.