⚽ Primeira Liga

Famalicao vs Sporting CP Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Famalicao vs Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Famalicao face Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:30 UTC. Recent form: Famalicao have 0 wins from their last 5, while Sporting CP have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Sporting CP won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sporting CP win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 0.9-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Famalicao vs Sporting CP with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.43

72%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.93 – 1.75 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	12.0%	10.5%	6.1%	2.7%
1	6.4%	11.2%	9.8%	5.7%	2.5%
2	3.0%	5.2%	4.5%	2.6%	1.2%
3	0.9%	1.6%	1.4%	0.8%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Famalicao winDrawSporting CP win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Famalicao vs Sporting CP is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.43, the selection our model is most confident in at 72%. On the match result, the model rates a Sporting CP win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points no (50%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Sporting CP win at odds 1.60 (+5.8% model value).

Best value

Sporting CP Win at odds 1.60, 66% model probability, +5.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Famalicao 14%Draw 20%Sporting CP 66%

14%20%66%

66%

Sporting CP Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS no

+5.8%

Best value: Sporting CP Win

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Famalicao and Sporting CP. Wins shown from Famalicao’s perspective: Sporting CP 5.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-15	Sporting CP	1 – 0	Famalicao	L
2025-09-13	Famalicao	1 – 2	Sporting CP	L
2025-03-15	Sporting CP	3 – 1	Famalicao	L
2024-10-26	Famalicao	0 – 3	Sporting CP	L
2024-04-16	Famalicao	0 – 1	Sporting CP	L

📈 Recent form

Famalicao

Famalicao come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Santa Clara.

DEstrela 2-2 FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
DFamalicao 0-0 GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
LSanta Clara 1-0 FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
LFamalicao 1-2 MaritimoPrimeira Liga
DEstoril 1-1 FamalicaoPrimeira Liga

Sporting CP

Sporting CP come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Rio Ave. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSporting CP 3-1 GalatasarayUEFA Champions League
WSporting CP 2-0 NacionalPrimeira Liga
WRio Ave 0-4 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
WSporting CP 3-1 AlvercaPrimeira Liga
WSporting CP 3-2 GuimaraesPrimeira Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Famalicao at 14% to win and Sporting CP at 66%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Sporting CP win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Sporting CP Win	66%	@ 1.60	+5.8%
Draw	20%	@ 4.25	-14.2%
Famalicao Win	14%	@ 4.90	-32.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sporting CP or Draw at 1.14 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Sporting CP or Draw	86%	@ 1.14	-1.8%
Famalicao or Draw	34%	@ 2.18	-26.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	25%	@ 4.30	+8.5%
Under 2.5	50%	@ 2.12	+5.7%
Under 3.5	72%	@ 1.43	+2.7%
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.17	-12.5%
Over 2.5	50%	@ 1.61	-19.3%
Over 3.5	28%	@ 2.55	-28.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	50%	@ 2.02	+1.2%
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.67	-16.7%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Famalicao vs Sporting CP?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.43, with 72% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Sporting CP win at 1.60 (+5.8% value).

Who is the favourite for Famalicao vs Sporting CP?

Our model makes a Sporting CP win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.8 scoreline for Famalicao vs Sporting CP.

What is the predicted score for Famalicao vs Sporting CP?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.93 for Famalicao and 1.75 for Sporting CP. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Famalicao and Sporting CP play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.