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⚽ Championship
Sheffield Utd vs Wolves Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sheffield Utd vs Wolves in the Championship. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Sheffield Utd face Wolves in the Championship, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 11:00 UTC. Recent form: Sheffield Utd have 1 win from their last 5, while Wolves have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Sheffield Utd won 1, Wolves won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.5-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sheffield Utd vs Wolves with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Wolves is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Sheffield Utd or Draw at odds 1.58, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Sheffield Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (50%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Sheffield Utd win at odds 2.85 (+49.9% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Sheffield Utd and Wolves. Wins shown from Sheffield Utd’s perspective: Sheffield Utd 1 · Wolves 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-25 | Wolves | 1 – 0 | Sheffield Utd | L |
| 2023-11-04 | Sheffield Utd | 2 – 1 | Wolves | W |
📈 Recent form
Sheffield Utd come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Blackburn. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Norwich.
- WBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- LSheffield Utd 1-3 NorwichChampionship
- WSheffield Utd 3-2 BoltonChampionship
- DCardiff 2-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- WBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdLeague Cup
Wolves come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Stoke City. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-4 at West Ham.
- DBirmingham 2-2 WolvesChampionship
- LWest Ham 4-2 WolvesChampionship
- WWolves 4-1 Stoke CityChampionship
- WSheffield Wednesday 0-2 WolvesLeague Cup
- WPreston 1-3 WolvesChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- H. BurrowsNot in squad
- T. ChongInjury
- R. OneHamstring Injury
- F. SerikiNot in squad
- J. BellegardeHamstring Injury
- Y. MosqueraAnkle Injury
- R. SaidKnee Injury
- K. TrippierKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sheffield Utd at 53% to win and Wolves at 21%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd Win | 53% | @ 2.85 | +49.9% |
| Draw | 27% | @ 3.50 | -6.1% |
| Wolves Win | 21% | @ 2.30 | -52.7% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sheffield Utd or Draw at 1.58 (78% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd or Draw | 78% | @ 1.58 | +23.2% |
| Wolves or Draw | 46% | @ 1.40 | -35.5% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 28% | @ 4.00 | +10.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | @ 2.05 | +8.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 75% | @ 1.41 | +5.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | @ 1.21 | -12.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | @ 1.70 | -20.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | @ 2.80 | -29.1% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 50% | @ 2.23 | +10.9% |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | @ 1.58 | -20.5% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Wolves?
Our main pick is Sheffield Utd or Draw at odds 1.58, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Sheffield Utd win at 2.85 (+49.9% value).
Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Wolves?
Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline for Sheffield Utd vs Wolves.
What is the predicted score for Sheffield Utd vs Wolves?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Sheffield Utd and 1.03 for Wolves. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sheffield Utd and Wolves play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
