⚽ Championship
Bristol City vs Lincoln Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bristol City vs Lincoln in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Bristol City 0-1 Lincoln
Bristol City vs Lincoln finished 0-1. Lincoln won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.37, landed.
Bristol City face Lincoln in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Bristol City have 3 wins from their last 5, while Lincoln have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bristol City win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bristol City vs Lincoln with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Bristol City vs Lincoln comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bristol City win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (52%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Bristol City come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Preston. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Lincoln.
- WBristol City 1-0 WatfordChampionship
- LBristol City 0-1 LincolnChampionship
- LSouthampton 4-1 Bristol CityChampionship
- WBurnley 1-2 Bristol CityChampionship
- WPreston 1-3 Bristol CityChampionship
Lincoln come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Bristol City. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Swansea.
- LLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship
- WBristol City 0-1 LincolnChampionship
- WPreston 0-1 LincolnChampionship
- LBournemouth 4-0 LincolnLeague Cup
- DLincoln 1-1 SouthamptonChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- B. De KeersmaeckerShoulder Injury
- L. McNallyKnee Injury
- T. DarikwaKnee Injury
- T. HamerHealth problems
- M. MeliaThigh Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Bristol City at 49% to win and Lincoln at 25%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Bristol City win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City Win | 49% | 46% | @ 2.04 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Lincoln Win | 25% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bristol City or Draw at 1.30 (74% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City or Draw | 74% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Lincoln or Draw | 51% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 78% | 68% | @ 1.37 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 76% | @ 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 53% | @ 1.76 |
| Under 1.5 | 30% | 24% | @ 3.95 |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 32% | @ 2.90 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 52% | 43% | @ 2.16 |
| BTTS Yes | 48% | 57% | @ 1.62 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bristol City or Lincoln is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City +1.5 | 90% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Bristol City +1.25 | 86% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Bristol City +1 | 82% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Lincoln +2 | 82% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Bristol City +0.75 | 78% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Lincoln +1.75 | 78% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Lincoln +1.5 | 74% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Bristol City +0.5 | 74% | 74% | 1.27 |
| Lincoln +1.25 | 68% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Bristol City +0.25 | 68% | 71% | 1.34 |
| Lincoln +1 | 63% | 65% | 1.46 |
| Bristol City 0 | 62% | 67% | 1.43 |
| Lincoln +0.75 | 57% | 57% | 1.68 |
| Bristol City -0.25 | 56% | 57% | 1.69 |
| Lincoln +0.5 | 51% | 50% | 1.92 |
| Bristol City -0.5 | 49% | 50% | 1.95 |
| Lincoln +0.25 | 44% | 43% | 2.21 |
| Bristol City -0.75 | 43% | 43% | 2.22 |
| Lincoln 0 | 38% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
| Bristol City -1 | 37% | 35% | @ 2.74 |
| Lincoln -0.25 | 32% | 29% | @ 3.26 |
| Bristol City -1.25 | 32% | 30% | 3.15 |
| Bristol City -1.5 | 26% | 27% | 3.53 |
| Lincoln -0.5 | 26% | 25% | 3.73 |
| Bristol City -1.75 | 22% | 21% | 4.40 |
| Lincoln -0.75 | 22% | 21% | 4.54 |
| Bristol City -2 | 18% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Lincoln -1 | 18% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Lincoln -1.25 | 14% | 15% | 6.40 |
| Lincoln -1.5 | 10% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bristol City vs Lincoln?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.
Who is the favourite for Bristol City vs Lincoln?
Our model makes a Bristol City win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for Bristol City vs Lincoln.
What is the predicted score for Bristol City vs Lincoln?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.42 for Bristol City and 1.00 for Lincoln. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Bristol City and Lincoln play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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