FC St. Pauli

Sat 12 Sep1-0Finished

VfL Wolfsburg

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg finished 1-0. FC St. Pauli won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, FC St. Pauli or Draw at 1.53, landed.

FC St. Pauli face VfL Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: FC St. Pauli have no wins from their last 4, while VfL Wolfsburg have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 1, VfL Wolfsburg won 2, 2 drawn. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC St. Pauli or Draw @ 1.53

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.79 – 1.33 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.4%	5.9%	3.9%	1.7%	0.6%
1	7.9%	10.5%	7.0%	3.1%	1.0%
2	7.1%	9.4%	6.3%	2.8%	0.9%
3	4.2%	5.6%	3.7%	1.7%	0.6%
4	1.9%	2.5%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

FC St. Pauli winDrawVfL Wolfsburg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC St. Pauli or Draw at odds 1.53, with a 73% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

60%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg. Wins shown from FC St. Pauli’s perspective: FC St. Pauli 1 · 2 drawn · VfL Wolfsburg 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	FC St. Pauli	1 – 0	VfL Wolfsburg	W
2026-05-16	FC St. Pauli	1 – 3	VfL Wolfsburg	L
2026-01-14	VfL Wolfsburg	2 – 1	FC St. Pauli	L
2025-03-08	VfL Wolfsburg	1 – 1	FC St. Pauli	D
2024-10-26	FC St. Pauli	0 – 0	VfL Wolfsburg	D

📈 Recent form

FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to VfL Wolfsburg. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

DEnergie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
WFC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga
DArminia Bielefeld 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
LFC St. Pauli 1-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
LRot-Weiß Essen 2-0 FC St. PauliDFB Pokal

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to SV Darmstadt 98. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at FC St. Pauli.

WVfL Wolfsburg 5-1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
LFC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga
DVfL Wolfsburg 4-4 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
WKarlsruher SC 2-5 VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga
DAltglienicke 2-2 VfL WolfsburgDFB Pokal

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC St. Pauli or Draw at 1.53 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC St. Pauli or Draw	73%	62%	@ 1.53
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw	53%	64%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	83%	@ 1.14
Under 3.5	62%	58%	@ 1.62
Over 2.5	60%	61%	@ 1.53
Under 2.5	40%	39%	@ 2.40
Over 3.5	38%	42%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	18%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	39%	35%	@ 2.62

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Our model's main pick is FC St. Pauli or Draw at odds 1.53, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

What is the predicted score for FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.79 for FC St. Pauli and 1.33 for VfL Wolfsburg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.