Sweden

Fri 25 Sep18:45Upcoming

Romania

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Sweden vs Romania Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sweden vs Romania in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Friday 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Sweden face Romania in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Friday 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Sweden win the most likely result at 64%, implying a 2.1-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sweden vs Romania with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Sweden win	64%
Draw	21%
Romania win	16%
Over 2.5 goals	59%
Both teams to score	54%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.10 – 0.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	4.5%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
1	9.9%	9.4%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.4%	9.9%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
3	7.3%	6.9%	3.3%	1.0%	0.2%
4	3.8%	3.6%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Sweden winDrawRomania win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Sweden vs Romania. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Sweden win is the most likely result at 64%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 59%. Both teams to score: yes at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Sweden 64%Draw 21%Romania 16%

64%21%16%

64%

Sweden Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Sweden

Sweden come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 4, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Ukraine. They have found the net in every one of those 4 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Norway.

DSweden 2-2 GreeceFriendlies
LNorway 3-1 SwedenFriendlies
WSweden 3-2 PolandWorld Cup – Qualificat
WUkraine 1-3 SwedenWorld Cup – Qualificat

Romania

Romania come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 4, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Wales. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Slovakia.

WRomania 2-1 WalesFriendlies
DGeorgia 1-1 RomaniaFriendlies
LSlovakia 2-0 RomaniaFriendlies
LTürkiye 1-0 RomaniaWorld Cup – Qualificat

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sweden at 64% to win and Romania at 16%, with the draw at 21%. The bookmaker market makes a Sweden win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Sweden Win	64%	@ 1.45
Draw	21%	@ 4.50
Romania Win	15%	@ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sweden or Draw at 1.14 (84% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Sweden or Draw	85%	@ 1.14
Romania or Draw	36%	@ 2.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.1-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.18
Under 3.5	62%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	59%	@ 1.60
Under 2.5	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	46%	@ 2.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sweden vs Romania?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Sweden win is the most likely result at 64%.

Who is the favourite for Sweden vs Romania?

Our model makes a Sweden win the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 2.1-0.9 scoreline for Sweden vs Romania.

What is the predicted score for Sweden vs Romania?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.10 for Sweden and 0.95 for Romania. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sweden and Romania play?

Kick-off is Friday 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.