Slovenia

Sat 26 Sep13:00Upcoming

Scotland

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Slovenia vs Scotland Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Slovenia vs Scotland in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Saturday 26 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Slovenia face Scotland in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Saturday 26 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Slovenia win the most likely result at 37%, implying a 1.2-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Slovenia vs Scotland with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Slovenia win	37%
Draw	30%
Scotland win	33%
Over 2.5 goals	42%
Both teams to score	50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.20 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	11.0%	6.3%	2.4%	0.7%
1	11.4%	13.2%	7.6%	2.9%	0.8%
2	6.9%	7.9%	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%
3	2.7%	3.2%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.8%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Slovenia winDrawScotland win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Slovenia vs Scotland. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Slovenia win is the most likely result at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Slovenia 37%Draw 30%Scotland 33%

37%30%33%

37%

Slovenia Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Slovenia

Slovenia come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 4, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Montenegro. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Croatia.

LCroatia 2-1 SloveniaFriendlies
DSlovenia 1-1 CyprusFriendlies
WMontenegro 2-3 SloveniaFriendlies
LHungary 1-0 SloveniaFriendlies

Scotland

Scotland come into this game with 2 wins from their last 4, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Bolivia. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Ivory Coast.

WBolivia 0-4 ScotlandFriendlies
WScotland 4-1 CuraçaoFriendlies
LScotland 0-1 Ivory CoastFriendlies
LScotland 0-1 JapanFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Slovenia at 37% to win and Scotland at 33%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes a Slovenia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Slovenia Win	37%	@ 2.55
Scotland Win	33%	@ 2.80
Draw	30%	@ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Slovenia or Draw at 1.40 (67% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Slovenia or Draw	67%	@ 1.40
Scotland or Draw	63%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	@ 1.22
Over 1.5	69%	@ 1.36
Under 2.5	58%	@ 1.62
Over 2.5	42%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	31%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.83

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Slovenia vs Scotland?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Slovenia win is the most likely result at 37%.

Who is the favourite for Slovenia vs Scotland?

Our model makes a Slovenia win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.1 scoreline for Slovenia vs Scotland.

What is the predicted score for Slovenia vs Scotland?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Slovenia and 1.15 for Scotland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Slovenia and Scotland play?

Kick-off is Saturday 26 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.