England

Sat 26 Sep18:45Upcoming

Spain

⚽ UEFA Nations League

England vs Spain Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for England vs Spain in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Saturday 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

England face Spain in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Saturday 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Spain win the most likely result at 42%, implying a 1.2-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for England vs Spain with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
England win	31%
Draw	27%
Spain win	42%
Over 2.5 goals	51%
Both teams to score	56%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.25 – 1.50 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	9.6%	7.2%	3.6%	1.3%
1	8.0%	12.0%	9.0%	4.5%	1.7%
2	5.0%	7.5%	5.6%	2.8%	1.1%
3	2.1%	3.1%	2.3%	1.2%	0.4%
4	0.7%	1.0%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

England winDrawSpain win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of England vs Spain. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Spain win is the most likely result at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: yes at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

England 31%Draw 27%Spain 42%

31%27%42%

42%

Spain Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

England

England come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 4, scoring 5 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Costa Rica. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Japan.

WEngland 3-0 Costa RicaFriendlies
WEngland 1-0 New ZealandFriendlies
LEngland 0-1 JapanFriendlies
DEngland 1-1 UruguayFriendlies

Spain

Spain come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 4, scoring 7 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Serbia.

WPeru 1-3 SpainFriendlies
DSpain 1-1 IraqFriendlies
DSpain 0-0 EgyptFriendlies
WSpain 3-0 SerbiaFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices England at 31% to win and Spain at 42%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes a Spain win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Spain Win	42%	@ 2.30
England Win	31%	@ 3.10
Draw	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Spain or Draw at 1.36 (69% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Spain or Draw	69%	@ 1.36
England or Draw	58%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	51%	@ 1.85
Under 2.5	49%	@ 1.95
Over 3.5	31%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	44%	@ 2.10

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for England vs Spain?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Spain win is the most likely result at 42%.

Who is the favourite for England vs Spain?

Our model makes a Spain win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.5 scoreline for England vs Spain.

What is the predicted score for England vs Spain?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.25 for England and 1.50 for Spain. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do England and Spain play?

Kick-off is Saturday 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.