Czechia vs Croatia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Czechia vs Croatia in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Saturday 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Czechia face Croatia in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Saturday 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Croatia win the most likely result at 44%, implying a 1.2-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Czechia vs Croatia with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Czechia win	29%
Draw	27%
Croatia win	44%
Over 2.5 goals	54%
Both teams to score	58%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.25 – 1.60 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	9.3%	7.4%	3.9%	1.6%
1	7.2%	11.6%	9.3%	4.9%	2.0%
2	4.5%	7.2%	5.8%	3.1%	1.2%
3	1.9%	3.0%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Czechia winDrawCroatia win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Czechia vs Croatia. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Croatia win is the most likely result at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 54%. Both teams to score: yes at 58%.

📊 Key numbers

Czechia 29%Draw 27%Croatia 44%

29%27%44%

44%

Croatia Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Croatia

Croatia come into this game with 2 wins from their last 4, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Slovenia. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Belgium.

WCroatia 2-1 SloveniaFriendlies
LCroatia 0-2 BelgiumFriendlies
LBrazil 3-1 CroatiaFriendlies
WColombia 1-2 CroatiaFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Czechia at 29% to win and Croatia at 44%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes a Croatia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Croatia Win	44%	@ 2.15
Czechia Win	29%	@ 3.25
Draw	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Croatia or Draw at 1.33 (71% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Croatia or Draw	71%	@ 1.33
Czechia or Draw	56%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.40
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.75
Under 2.5	46%	@ 2.05
Over 3.5	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	42%	@ 2.20

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Czechia vs Croatia?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Croatia win is the most likely result at 44%.

Who is the favourite for Czechia vs Croatia?

Our model makes a Croatia win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline for Czechia vs Croatia.

What is the predicted score for Czechia vs Croatia?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.25 for Czechia and 1.60 for Croatia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Czechia and Croatia play?

Kick-off is Saturday 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.