Serbia

Sun 27 Sep16:00Upcoming

Netherlands

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Serbia vs Netherlands Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Serbia vs Netherlands in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Serbia face Netherlands in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Netherlands win the most likely result at 66%, implying a 0.8-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Serbia vs Netherlands with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Serbia win	13%
Draw	21%
Netherlands win	66%
Over 2.5 goals	56%
Both teams to score	48%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 0.85 – 2.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	11.0%	11.5%	8.1%	4.2%
1	4.4%	9.3%	9.8%	6.9%	3.6%
2	1.9%	4.0%	4.2%	2.9%	1.5%
3	0.5%	1.1%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-2

Serbia winDrawNetherlands win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Serbia vs Netherlands. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Netherlands win is the most likely result at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 56%. Both teams to score: no at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Serbia 13%Draw 21%Netherlands 66%

13%21%66%

66%

Netherlands Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Serbia

Serbia come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Saudi Arabia. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Greece.

LSerbia 1-2 GreeceUEFA Nations League
LMexico 5-1 SerbiaFriendlies
LCape Verde Islands 3-0 SerbiaFriendlies
WSerbia 2-1 Saudi ArabiaFriendlies
LSpain 3-0 SerbiaFriendlies

Netherlands

Netherlands come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Uzbekistan. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Algeria.

DNetherlands 1-1 GermanyUEFA Nations League
WNetherlands 2-1 UzbekistanFriendlies
LNetherlands 0-1 AlgeriaFriendlies
DNetherlands 1-1 EcuadorFriendlies
WNetherlands 2-1 NorwayFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Serbia at 13% to win and Netherlands at 66%, with the draw at 21%. The bookmaker market makes a Netherlands win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Netherlands Win	66%	@ 1.44
Draw	21%	@ 4.50
Serbia Win	13%	@ 7.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Netherlands or Draw at 1.10 (87% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Netherlands or Draw	87%	@ 1.10
Serbia or Draw	34%	@ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 0.8-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	65%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	56%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	44%	@ 2.15
Over 3.5	35%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS Yes	49%	@ 1.91

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Serbia vs Netherlands?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Netherlands win is the most likely result at 66%.

Who is the favourite for Serbia vs Netherlands?

Our model makes a Netherlands win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 0.8-2.1 scoreline for Serbia vs Netherlands.

What is the predicted score for Serbia vs Netherlands?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.85 for Serbia and 2.10 for Netherlands. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Serbia and Netherlands play?

Kick-off is Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.