Denmark

Sun 27 Sep16:00Upcoming

Wales

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Denmark vs Wales Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Denmark vs Wales in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Denmark face Wales in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Denmark win the most likely result at 64%, implying a 1.9-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Denmark vs Wales with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Denmark win	64%
Draw	22%
Wales win	14%
Over 2.5 goals	53%
Both teams to score	48%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.95 – 0.80 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	5.1%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
1	12.5%	10.0%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.2%	9.7%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%
3	7.9%	6.3%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%
4	3.9%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Denmark winDrawWales win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Denmark vs Wales. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Denmark win is the most likely result at 64%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 53%. Both teams to score: no at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Denmark 64%Draw 22%Wales 14%

64%22%14%

64%

Denmark Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Denmark

Denmark come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 4, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to FYR Macedonia. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Norway.

LNorway 3-2 DenmarkUEFA Nations League
WDenmark 2-1 UkraineFriendlies
DCongo DR 0-0 DenmarkFriendlies
WDenmark 4-0 FYR MacedoniaWorld Cup – Qualificat

Wales

Wales come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 4, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Portugal.

LPortugal 1-0 WalesUEFA Nations League
LRomania 2-1 WalesFriendlies
DWales 1-1 GhanaFriendlies
DWales 1-1 Northern IrelandFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Denmark at 64% to win and Wales at 14%, with the draw at 22%. The bookmaker market makes a Denmark win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Denmark Win	64%	@ 1.48
Draw	22%	@ 4.33
Wales Win	15%	@ 6.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Denmark or Draw at 1.11 (86% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Denmark or Draw	85%	@ 1.11
Wales or Draw	36%	@ 2.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.9-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	53%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	31%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS Yes	49%	@ 1.91

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Denmark vs Wales?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Denmark win is the most likely result at 64%.

Who is the favourite for Denmark vs Wales?

Our model makes a Denmark win the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.8 scoreline for Denmark vs Wales.

What is the predicted score for Denmark vs Wales?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.95 for Denmark and 0.80 for Wales. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Denmark and Wales play?

Kick-off is Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.