Germany

Sun 27 Sep18:45Upcoming

Greece

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Germany vs Greece Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Germany vs Greece in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Sunday 27 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Germany face Greece in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Sunday 27 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Germany win the most likely result at 67%, implying a 2.3-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Germany vs Greece with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Germany win	67%
Draw	19%
Greece win	14%
Over 2.5 goals	62%
Both teams to score	56%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.30 – 0.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	3.7%	1.7%	0.6%	0.1%
1	8.9%	8.5%	4.0%	1.3%	0.3%
2	10.3%	9.7%	4.6%	1.5%	0.3%
3	7.9%	7.5%	3.5%	1.1%	0.3%
4	4.5%	4.3%	2.0%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-0

Germany winDrawGreece win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Germany vs Greece. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Germany win is the most likely result at 67%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 62%. Both teams to score: yes at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Germany 67%Draw 19%Greece 14%

67%19%14%

67%

Germany Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Germany

Germany come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 4, scoring 11 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Finland. They have found the net in every one of those 4 matches.

DNetherlands 1-1 GermanyUEFA Nations League
WUSA 1-2 GermanyFriendlies
WGermany 4-0 FinlandFriendlies
WSwitzerland 3-4 GermanyFriendlies

Greece

Greece come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Serbia. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Italy.

WSerbia 1-2 GreeceUEFA Nations League
LGreece 0-1 ItalyFriendlies
DSweden 2-2 GreeceFriendlies
DHungary 0-0 GreeceFriendlies
LGreece 0-1 ParaguayFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Germany at 67% to win and Greece at 14%, with the draw at 19%. The bookmaker market makes a Germany win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Germany Win	67%	@ 1.44
Draw	19%	@ 5.00
Greece Win	14%	@ 7.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Germany or Draw at 1.10 (86% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Germany or Draw	86%	@ 1.10
Greece or Draw	33%	@ 2.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.3-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	62%	@ 1.50
Under 3.5	58%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	42%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	44%	@ 2.10

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Germany vs Greece?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Germany win is the most likely result at 67%.

Who is the favourite for Germany vs Greece?

Our model makes a Germany win the most likely result at 67%. It projects an expected 2.3-0.9 scoreline for Germany vs Greece.

What is the predicted score for Germany vs Greece?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.30 for Germany and 0.95 for Greece. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Germany and Greece play?

Kick-off is Sunday 27 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.