Norway

Sun 27 Sep18:45Upcoming

Portugal

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Norway vs Portugal Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Norway vs Portugal in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Sunday 27 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Norway face Portugal in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Sunday 27 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Norway win the most likely result at 37%, implying a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Norway vs Portugal with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Norway win	37%
Draw	26%
Portugal win	36%
Over 2.5 goals	61%
Both teams to score	64%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.60 – 1.55 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	6.6%	5.1%	2.7%	1.0%
1	6.9%	10.6%	8.2%	4.3%	1.6%
2	5.5%	8.5%	6.6%	3.4%	1.3%
3	2.9%	4.5%	3.5%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.2%	1.8%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Norway winDrawPortugal win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Norway vs Portugal. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Norway win is the most likely result at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 61%. Both teams to score: yes at 64%.

📊 Key numbers

Norway 37%Draw 26%Portugal 36%

37%26%36%

37%

Norway Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Norway

Norway come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Sweden. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Netherlands.

WNorway 3-2 DenmarkUEFA Nations League
DMorocco 1-1 NorwayFriendlies
WNorway 3-1 SwedenFriendlies
DNorway 0-0 SwitzerlandFriendlies
LNetherlands 2-1 NorwayFriendlies

Portugal

Portugal come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at USA.

WPortugal 1-0 WalesUEFA Nations League
WPortugal 2-1 NigeriaFriendlies
WPortugal 2-1 ChileFriendlies
WUSA 0-2 PortugalFriendlies
DMexico 0-0 PortugalFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Norway at 37% to win and Portugal at 36%, with the draw at 26%. The bookmaker market makes a Norway win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Norway Win	37%	@ 2.55
Portugal Win	36%	@ 2.60
Draw	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Norway or Draw at 1.50 (64% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Norway or Draw	64%	@ 1.50
Portugal or Draw	63%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	61%	@ 1.53
Under 3.5	58%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	42%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	39%	@ 2.40
Under 1.5	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	35%	@ 2.62

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Norway vs Portugal?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Norway win is the most likely result at 37%.

Who is the favourite for Norway vs Portugal?

Our model makes a Norway win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for Norway vs Portugal.

What is the predicted score for Norway vs Portugal?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Norway and 1.55 for Portugal. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Norway and Portugal play?

Kick-off is Sunday 27 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.