Georgia

Mon 28 Sep16:00Upcoming

Ukraine

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Georgia vs Ukraine Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Georgia vs Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Monday 28 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Georgia face Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Monday 28 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Georgia win the most likely result at 36%, implying a 1.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Georgia vs Ukraine with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Georgia win	36%
Draw	29%
Ukraine win	36%
Over 2.5 goals	45%
Both teams to score	50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.25 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	10.3%	6.4%	2.7%	0.8%
1	10.3%	12.8%	8.0%	3.3%	1.0%
2	6.4%	8.0%	5.0%	2.1%	0.7%
3	2.7%	3.3%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.8%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Georgia winDrawUkraine win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Georgia vs Ukraine. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Georgia win is the most likely result at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Georgia 36%Draw 29%Ukraine 36%

36%29%36%

36%

Georgia Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Georgia

Georgia come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 4, scoring 7 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Bahrain. They have found the net in every one of those 4 matches.

WGeorgia 2-0 BahrainFriendlies
DGeorgia 1-1 RomaniaFriendlies
WLithuania 0-2 GeorgiaFriendlies
DGeorgia 2-2 IsraelFriendlies

Ukraine

Ukraine come into this game with 2 wins from their last 4, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Poland. They have found the net in every one of those 4 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Denmark.

LDenmark 2-1 UkraineFriendlies
WPoland 0-2 UkraineFriendlies
WUkraine 1-0 AlbaniaFriendlies
LUkraine 1-3 SwedenWorld Cup – Qualificat

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Georgia at 36% to win and Ukraine at 36%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes a Georgia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Georgia Win	36%	@ 2.60
Ukraine Win	36%	@ 2.60
Draw	29%	@ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Georgia or Draw at 1.44 (64% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Georgia or Draw	64%	@ 1.44
Ukraine or Draw	64%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	@ 1.25
Over 1.5	71%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	55%	@ 1.70
Over 2.5	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	29%	@ 3.25
Over 3.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.83

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Georgia vs Ukraine?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Georgia win is the most likely result at 36%.

Who is the favourite for Georgia vs Ukraine?

Our model makes a Georgia win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline for Georgia vs Ukraine.

What is the predicted score for Georgia vs Ukraine?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.25 for Georgia and 1.25 for Ukraine. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Georgia and Ukraine play?

Kick-off is Monday 28 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.