Belgium

Mon 28 Sep18:45Upcoming

France

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Belgium vs France Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Belgium vs France in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Monday 28 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Belgium face France in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Monday 28 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a France win the most likely result at 49%, implying a 1.2-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Belgium vs France with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Belgium win	25%
Draw	25%
France win	49%
Over 2.5 goals	56%
Both teams to score	58%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.20 – 1.75 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	9.2%	8.0%	4.7%	2.0%
1	6.3%	11.0%	9.6%	5.6%	2.5%
2	3.8%	6.6%	5.8%	3.4%	1.5%
3	1.5%	2.6%	2.3%	1.3%	0.6%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Belgium winDrawFrance win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Belgium vs France. Based on the bookmaker odds, a France win is the most likely result at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 56%. Both teams to score: yes at 58%.

📊 Key numbers

Belgium 25%Draw 25%France 49%

25%25%49%

49%

France Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Belgium

Belgium come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 4, scoring 13 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Tunisia. They have found the net in every one of those 4 matches.

WBelgium 5-0 TunisiaFriendlies
WCroatia 0-2 BelgiumFriendlies
DMexico 1-1 BelgiumFriendlies
WUSA 2-5 BelgiumFriendlies

France

France come into this game with 3 wins from their last 4, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Northern Ireland. They have found the net in every one of those 4 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Ivory Coast.

WFrance 3-1 Northern IrelandFriendlies
LFrance 1-2 Ivory CoastFriendlies
WColombia 1-3 FranceFriendlies
WBrazil 1-2 FranceFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Belgium at 25% to win and France at 49%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes a France win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
France Win	49%	@ 1.85
Belgium Win	25%	@ 3.60
Draw	25%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is France or Draw at 1.25 (75% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
France or Draw	75%	@ 1.25
Belgium or Draw	51%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	65%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	56%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	44%	@ 2.15
Over 3.5	35%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	42%	@ 2.20

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Belgium vs France?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a France win is the most likely result at 49%.

Who is the favourite for Belgium vs France?

Our model makes a France win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.8 scoreline for Belgium vs France.

What is the predicted score for Belgium vs France?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Belgium and 1.75 for France. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Belgium and France play?

Kick-off is Monday 28 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.