Bosnia & Herzegovina

Mon 5 Oct1-0Finished

Poland

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Monday 05 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-0 Poland

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland finished 1-0. Bosnia & Herzegovina won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Bosnia & Herzegovina face Poland in the upcoming UEFA Nations League tips, kicking off Monday 05 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Bosnia & Herzegovina won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Poland win the most likely result at 44%, implying a 1.1-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Bosnia & Herzegovina win	29%
Draw	27%
Poland win	44%
Over 2.5 goals	49%
Both teams to score	54%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.15 – 1.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	10.8%	7.8%	3.8%	1.4%
1	8.5%	12.4%	9.0%	4.3%	1.6%
2	4.9%	7.1%	5.2%	2.5%	0.9%
3	1.9%	2.7%	2.0%	1.0%	0.3%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bosnia & Herzegovina winDrawPoland win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Poland win is the most likely result at 44%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: yes at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

Bosnia & Herzegovina 29%Draw 27%Poland 44%

29%27%44%

44%

Poland Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland. Wins shown from Bosnia & Herzegovina’s perspective: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-05	Bosnia & Herzegovina	1 – 0	Poland	W
2026-09-25	Poland	0 – 0	Bosnia & Herzegovina	D

📈 Recent form

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Bosnia & Herzegovina come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Romania.

WBosnia & Herzegovina 1-0 PolandUEFA Nations League
DBosnia & Herzegovina 1-1 SwedenUEFA Nations League
WRomania 2-4 Bosnia & HerzegovinaUEFA Nations League
DPoland 0-0 Bosnia & HerzegovinaUEFA Nations League
DPanama 1-1 Bosnia & HerzegovinaFriendlies

Poland

Poland come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Romania. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Bosnia & Herzegovina.

LBosnia & Herzegovina 1-0 PolandUEFA Nations League
WPoland 6-0 RomaniaUEFA Nations League
LSweden 3-1 PolandUEFA Nations League
DPoland 0-0 Bosnia & HerzegovinaUEFA Nations League
DPoland 2-2 NigeriaFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bosnia & Herzegovina at 29% to win and Poland at 44%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes a Poland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Poland Win	44%	@ 2.15
Bosnia & Herzegovina Win	29%	@ 3.20
Draw	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Poland or Draw at 1.33 (71% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Poland or Draw	71%	@ 1.33
Bosnia & Herzegovina or Draw	56%	@ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	72%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	51%	@ 1.85
Over 2.5	49%	@ 1.95
Over 3.5	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	46%	@ 2.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Poland win is the most likely result at 44%.

Who is the favourite for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

Our model makes a Poland win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.4 scoreline for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland.

What is the predicted score for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Bosnia & Herzegovina and 1.45 for Poland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland play?

Kick-off is Monday 05 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.