Romania

Mon 5 Oct0-1Finished

Sweden

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Romania vs Sweden Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Romania vs Sweden in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Monday 05 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Romania 0-1 Sweden

Romania vs Sweden finished 0-1. Sweden won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Romania face Sweden in the upcoming UEFA Nations League tips, kicking off Monday 05 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Sweden won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Sweden win the most likely result at 52%, implying a 1.1-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Romania vs Sweden with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Romania win	23%
Draw	25%
Sweden win	52%
Over 2.5 goals	56%
Both teams to score	58%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.15 – 1.80 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	9.4%	8.5%	5.1%	2.3%
1	6.0%	10.8%	9.8%	5.9%	2.6%
2	3.5%	6.2%	5.6%	3.4%	1.5%
3	1.3%	2.4%	2.1%	1.3%	0.6%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Romania winDrawSweden win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Romania vs Sweden. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Sweden win is the most likely result at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 56%. Both teams to score: yes at 58%.

📊 Key numbers

Romania 23%Draw 25%Sweden 52%

23%25%52%

52%

Sweden Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Romania and Sweden. Wins shown from Romania’s perspective: Sweden 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-05	Romania	0 – 1	Sweden	L
2026-09-25	Sweden	2 – 1	Romania	L

📈 Recent form

Romania

Romania come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Wales. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Sweden.

LRomania 0-1 SwedenUEFA Nations League
LPoland 6-0 RomaniaUEFA Nations League
LRomania 2-4 Bosnia & HerzegovinaUEFA Nations League
LSweden 2-1 RomaniaUEFA Nations League
WRomania 2-1 WalesFriendlies

Sweden

Sweden come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Poland. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WRomania 0-1 SwedenUEFA Nations League
DBosnia & Herzegovina 1-1 SwedenUEFA Nations League
WSweden 3-1 PolandUEFA Nations League
WSweden 2-1 RomaniaUEFA Nations League
DSweden 2-2 GreeceFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Romania at 23% to win and Sweden at 52%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes a Sweden win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Sweden Win	52%	@ 1.80
Draw	25%	@ 3.70
Romania Win	23%	@ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sweden or Draw at 1.22 (77% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Sweden or Draw	77%	@ 1.22
Romania or Draw	48%	@ 1.95

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	65%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	56%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	44%	@ 2.15
Over 3.5	35%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	42%	@ 2.20

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Romania vs Sweden?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Sweden win is the most likely result at 52%.

Who is the favourite for Romania vs Sweden?

Our model makes a Sweden win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.8 scoreline for Romania vs Sweden.

What is the predicted score for Romania vs Sweden?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Romania and 1.80 for Sweden. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Romania and Sweden play?

Kick-off is Monday 05 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.