⚽ Premiership
Heart Of Midlothian vs St Mirren Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Heart Of Midlothian vs St Mirren in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Heart Of Midlothian 5-0 St Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian vs St Mirren finished 5-0. Heart Of Midlothian won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Heart Of Midlothian face St Mirren in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Heart Of Midlothian have 3 wins from their last 5, while St Mirren have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 65%, implying a 2.2-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Heart Of Midlothian vs St Mirren with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian win | 65% |
| Draw | 19% |
| St Mirren win | 16% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Heart Of Midlothian vs St Mirren. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Heart Of Midlothian win is the most likely result at 65%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 62%. Both teams to score: yes at 55%.
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Heart Of Midlothian come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to St Mirren. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Falkirk.
- WHeart Of Midlothian 5-0 St MirrenPremiership
- DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
- LFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
- WStenhousemuir 0-3 Heart Of MidlothianLeague Cup
- WHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 DundeePremiership
St Mirren come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Kilmarnock. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Heart Of Midlothian.
- LHeart Of Midlothian 5-0 St MirrenPremiership
- LSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee UtdPremiership
- LRangers 1-0 St MirrenPremiership
- LSt Mirren 1-2 CelticPremiership
- WKilmarnock 0-1 St MirrenPremiership
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Heart Of Midlothian at 65% to win and St Mirren at 16%, with the draw at 19%. The bookmaker market makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian Win | 65% | @ 1.45 |
| Draw | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| St Mirren Win | 16% | @ 5.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heart Of Midlothian or Draw at 1.14 (84% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian or Draw | 84% | @ 1.14 |
| St Mirren or Draw | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.2-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 45% | @ 2.05 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs St Mirren?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Heart Of Midlothian win is the most likely result at 65%.
Who is the favourite for Heart Of Midlothian vs St Mirren?
Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.0 scoreline for Heart Of Midlothian vs St Mirren.
What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs St Mirren?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.20 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.00 for St Mirren. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Heart Of Midlothian and St Mirren play?
Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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