Sun 11 Oct0-1Finished

⚽ Premiership

Aberdeen vs St Johnstone Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Aberdeen vs St Johnstone in the Premiership. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Aberdeen 0-1 St Johnstone

Aberdeen vs St Johnstone finished 0-1. St Johnstone won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Aberdeen face St Johnstone in the Premiership, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Aberdeen have 1 win from their last 5, while St Johnstone have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes an Aberdeen win the most likely result at 44%, implying a 1.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Aberdeen vs St Johnstone with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Aberdeen win	44%
Draw	28%
St Johnstone win	29%
Over 2.5 goals	50%
Both teams to score	53%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.50 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	8.1%	4.8%	1.9%	0.6%
1	10.1%	12.1%	7.3%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.1%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
3	3.8%	4.5%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Aberdeen winDrawSt Johnstone win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Aberdeen vs St Johnstone. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Aberdeen win is the most likely result at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 50%. Both teams to score: yes at 53%.

📊 Key numbers

Aberdeen 44%Draw 28%St Johnstone 29%

44%28%29%

44%

Aberdeen Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Aberdeen

Aberdeen come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Motherwell. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to St Johnstone.

LAberdeen 0-1 St JohnstonePremiership
WDunfermline 1-4 AberdeenFriendlies Clubs
DHibernian 1-1 AberdeenPremiership
WMotherwell 0-4 AberdeenPremiership
DKilmarnock 1-1 AberdeenLeague Cup

St Johnstone

St Johnstone come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Aberdeen. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Celtic.

WAberdeen 0-1 St JohnstonePremiership
DSt Johnstone 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
LSt Johnstone 0-1 CelticPremiership
WSt Johnstone 2-1 HibernianPremiership
DDundee 1-1 St JohnstonePremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Aberdeen at 44% to win and St Johnstone at 29%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes an Aberdeen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Aberdeen Win	44%	@ 2.15
St Johnstone Win	29%	@ 3.25
Draw	28%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Aberdeen or Draw at 1.33 (71% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Aberdeen or Draw	71%	@ 1.33
St Johnstone or Draw	56%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.30
Under 3.5	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Aberdeen 43%Draw 29%St Johnstone 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aberdeen vs St Johnstone?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Aberdeen win is the most likely result at 44%.

Who is the favourite for Aberdeen vs St Johnstone?

Our model makes an Aberdeen win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline for Aberdeen vs St Johnstone.

What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs St Johnstone?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.50 for Aberdeen and 1.20 for St Johnstone. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Aberdeen and St Johnstone play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.