Moldova

Tue 6 Oct0-4Finished

Slovakia

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Moldova vs Slovakia Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Moldova vs Slovakia in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Moldova 0-4 Slovakia

Moldova vs Slovakia finished 0-4. Slovakia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Moldova face Slovakia in the upcoming UEFA Nations League tips, kicking off Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Slovakia won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Slovakia win the most likely result at 67%, implying a 0.8-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Moldova vs Slovakia with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Moldova win	12%
Draw	21%
Slovakia win	67%
Over 2.5 goals	53%
Both teams to score	44%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 0.75 – 2.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	12.5%	12.8%	8.7%	4.5%
1	4.6%	9.3%	9.6%	6.5%	3.4%
2	1.7%	3.5%	3.6%	2.5%	1.3%
3	0.4%	0.9%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-2

Moldova winDrawSlovakia win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Moldova vs Slovakia. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Slovakia win is the most likely result at 67%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 53%. Both teams to score: no at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Moldova 12%Draw 21%Slovakia 67%

12%21%67%

67%

Slovakia Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Moldova and Slovakia. Wins shown from Moldova’s perspective: Slovakia 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-06	Moldova	0 – 4	Slovakia	L
2026-09-26	Slovakia	2 – 0	Moldova	L

📈 Recent form

Moldova

Moldova come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Kazakhstan. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Slovakia.

LMoldova 0-4 SlovakiaUEFA Nations League
WKazakhstan 1-2 MoldovaUEFA Nations League
DMoldova 1-1 Faroe IslandsUEFA Nations League
LSlovakia 2-0 MoldovaUEFA Nations League
DArmenia 1-1 MoldovaFriendlies

Slovakia

Slovakia come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Moldova. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WMoldova 0-4 SlovakiaUEFA Nations League
DFaroe Islands 1-1 SlovakiaUEFA Nations League
WSlovakia 2-1 KazakhstanUEFA Nations League
WSlovakia 2-0 MoldovaUEFA Nations League
DSlovakia 2-2 MontenegroFriendlies

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Moldova at 12% to win and Slovakia at 67%, with the draw at 21%. The bookmaker market makes a Slovakia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Slovakia Win	67%	@ 1.40
Draw	21%	@ 4.50
Moldova Win	12%	@ 8.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Slovakia or Draw at 1.07 (88% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Slovakia or Draw	88%	@ 1.07
Moldova or Draw	33%	@ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 0.8-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.40
Over 2.5	53%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS Yes	44%	@ 2.10

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Moldova vs Slovakia?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Slovakia win is the most likely result at 67%.

Who is the favourite for Moldova vs Slovakia?

Our model makes a Slovakia win the most likely result at 67%. It projects an expected 0.8-2.0 scoreline for Moldova vs Slovakia.

What is the predicted score for Moldova vs Slovakia?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.75 for Moldova and 2.05 for Slovakia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Moldova and Slovakia play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.