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Tue 13 Oct16:45Upcoming

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Lens vs Sporting CP Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lens vs Sporting CP in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 13 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Lens face Sporting CP in the UEFA Champions League, kicking off Tuesday 13 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Lens win the most likely result at 38%, implying a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lens vs Sporting CP with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Lens win 38%
Draw 25%
Sporting CP win 37%
Over 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 62%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.55 – 1.55 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.5% 7.0% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1%
1 7.0% 10.8% 8.4% 4.3% 1.7%
2 5.4% 8.4% 6.5% 3.4% 1.3%
3 2.8% 4.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Projected score: 1-1
Lens winDrawSporting CP win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Lens vs Sporting CP. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Lens win is the most likely result at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 60%. Both teams to score: yes at 62%.

📊 Key numbers

Lens 38%Draw 25%Sporting CP 37%
38%25%37%
38%
Lens Win
60%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Lens

Lens come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lyon. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Monaco.

  • WLens 2-1 LyonLigue 1
  • LMonaco 2-1 LensLigue 1
  • DLe Mans 2-2 LensLigue 1
  • WSlavia Praha 2-3 LensUEFA Champions League
  • LLens 0-1 LorientLigue 1
Sporting CP

Sporting CP come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at SC Braga. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WSC Braga 1-3 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
  • DSporting CP 2-2 AroucaPrimeira Liga
  • DFamalicão 1-1 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
  • WSporting CP 3-1 GalatasarayUEFA Champions League
  • WSporting CP 2-0 NacionalPrimeira Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Lens
  • J. ChavezThigh Injury
  • M. DiarraOff the roster
  • J. GraditInjury
  • I. JourdrenOff the roster
  • M. NawrockiKnee Injury
  • A. SimaMuscle Injury
Sporting CP
  • Z. DebastInjury
  • N. SantosMuscle Injury
  • R. ZalazarInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lens at 38% to win and Sporting CP at 37%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes a Lens win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Lens Win 38% @ 2.50
Sporting CP Win 37% @ 2.55
Draw 25% @ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lens or Draw at 1.50 (63% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Lens or Draw 63% @ 1.50
Sporting CP or Draw 62% @ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 81% @ 1.17
Over 2.5 60% @ 1.57
Under 3.5 60% @ 1.57
Under 2.5 40% @ 2.38
Over 3.5 40% @ 2.38
Under 1.5 19% @ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 62% @ 1.50
BTTS No 38% @ 2.50

📈 How the market moved

21%32%43%10/0810/0910/1010/1110/1210/13

Lens 38%Draw 25%Sporting CP 37%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lens vs Sporting CP?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Lens win is the most likely result at 38%.

Who is the favourite for Lens vs Sporting CP?

Our model makes a Lens win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for Lens vs Sporting CP.

What is the predicted score for Lens vs Sporting CP?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.55 for Lens and 1.55 for Sporting CP. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lens and Sporting CP play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 13 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.