Tue 13 Oct00:00Upcoming

⚽ Brazilian Série A

RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Tuesday 13 October 2026, 00:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

RB Bragantino face Cruzeiro in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Tuesday 13 October 2026, 00:00 UTC. Recent form: RB Bragantino have no wins from their last 5, while Cruzeiro have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Cruzeiro won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.53

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.27 – 1.14 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	10.2%	5.8%	2.2%	0.6%
1	11.4%	13.0%	7.4%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.2%	8.3%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
3	3.1%	3.5%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

RB Bragantino winDrawCruzeiro win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a RB Bragantino win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (51%).

📊 Key numbers

RB Bragantino 36%Draw 28%Cruzeiro 36%

36%28%36%

36%

RB Bragantino Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro. Wins shown from RB Bragantino’s perspective: 2 drawn · Cruzeiro 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-12	Cruzeiro	2 – 1	RB Bragantino	L
2024-12-01	RB Bragantino	1 – 1	Cruzeiro	D
2024-07-13	Cruzeiro	2 – 1	RB Bragantino	L
2023-09-03	Cruzeiro	0 – 0	RB Bragantino	D
2023-04-29	RB Bragantino	0 – 3	Cruzeiro	L

📈 Recent form

RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Atlético Mineiro.

DRB Bragantino 1-1 MirassolBrazilian Série A
LAtlético Mineiro 1-0 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
LFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
DBotafogo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
LRB Bragantino 2-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to São Paulo. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Santos.

WCruzeiro 2-0 São PauloBrazilian Série A
WVitória 1-3 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
LSantos 2-1 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
WCruzeiro 3-1 Athletico ParanaenseBrazilian Série A
LAtlético Mineiro 2-1 CruzeiroCopa Do Brasil

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

RB Bragantino

Davi GomesKnee Injury
H. MosqueraNot in squad
RodriguinhoNot in squad

Cruzeiro

Gabriel PecBroken Leg
L. RomeroInjury
L. SinisterraMuscle Injury
N. VillarrealAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices RB Bragantino at 36% to win and Cruzeiro at 36%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Bragantino Win	36%	42%	@ 2.25
Cruzeiro Win	36%	31%	@ 3.10
Draw	28%	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is RB Bragantino or Draw at 1.36 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Bragantino or Draw	64%	69%	@ 1.36
Cruzeiro or Draw	63%	58%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	62%	@ 1.53
Over 1.5	69%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 2.5	57%	43%	@ 2.20
Over 2.5	43%	57%	@ 1.65
Under 1.5	31%	21%	@ 4.50
Over 3.5	22%	38%	@ 2.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	39%	@ 2.38
BTTS Yes	49%	61%	@ 1.53

📈 How the market moved

RB Bragantino 44%Draw 27%Cruzeiro 30%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

🔬 What our models say about this match

🔍 What our models say about this match

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	45%
Dixon-Coles	Away	38%
GradientBoosting	Away	38%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.30 for the home side, 1.29 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

Who is the favourite for RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?

Our model makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro.

What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for RB Bragantino and 1.14 for Cruzeiro. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 13 October 2026, 00:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.