Tue 13 Oct19:00Upcoming

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Arsenal vs Lille Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Arsenal vs Lille in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Arsenal face Lille in the UEFA Champions League, kicking off Tuesday 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes an Arsenal win the most likely result at 78%, implying a 2.5-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Arsenal vs Lille with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Arsenal win	78%
Draw	15%
Lille win	7%
Over 2.5 goals	60%
Both teams to score	42%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.50 – 0.65 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
1	10.7%	7.0%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
2	13.4%	8.7%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
3	11.2%	7.3%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%
4	7.0%	4.5%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Arsenal winDrawLille win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Arsenal vs Lille. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Arsenal win is the most likely result at 78%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 60%. Both teams to score: no at 58%.

📊 Key numbers

Arsenal 78%Draw 15%Lille 7%

78%15%

78%

Arsenal Win

60%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Arsenal

Arsenal come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Ipswich. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Brighton.

WArsenal 2-1 LeedsPremier League
LBrighton 3-0 ArsenalPremier League
WIpswich 2-4 ArsenalLeague Cup
WSunderland 0-2 ArsenalPremier League
WNapoli 0-1 ArsenalUEFA Champions League

Lille

Lille come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Estac Troyes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Nice.

WLille 1-0 Le HavreLigue 1
WLille 2-1 Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
LNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
WLille 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
LLille 2-3 Real BetisUEFA Champions League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Arsenal

P. HincapieAnkle Injury
W. SalibaBack Injury
C. TzolisHamstring Injury
M. ZubimendiKnock
C. MosqueraMuscle Injury

Lille

H. IgamaneKnee Injury
E. MbappeSuspended (red card)
T. SantosKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Arsenal at 78% to win and Lille at 7%, with the draw at 15%. The bookmaker market makes an Arsenal win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Arsenal Win	78%	@ 1.22
Draw	15%	@ 6.50
Lille Win	7%	@ 13.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Arsenal or Draw at 1.04 (93% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Arsenal or Draw	93%	@ 1.04
Lille or Draw	22%	@ 4.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.5-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	60%	@ 1.57
Under 3.5	60%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	40%	@ 2.38
Over 3.5	40%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS Yes	42%	@ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

Arsenal 79%Draw 14%Lille 7%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Lille?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Arsenal win is the most likely result at 78%.

Who is the favourite for Arsenal vs Lille?

Our model makes an Arsenal win the most likely result at 78%. It projects an expected 2.5-0.7 scoreline for Arsenal vs Lille.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Lille?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.50 for Arsenal and 0.65 for Lille. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Arsenal and Lille play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.