Tue 13 Oct19:00Upcoming

⚽ UEFA Champions League

RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

RB Leipzig face PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League, kicking off Tuesday 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely result at 55%, implying a 2.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
RB Leipzig win	55%
Draw	21%
PSV Eindhoven win	24%
Over 2.5 goals	72%
Both teams to score	69%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.25 – 1.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.5%	3.6%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%
1	5.6%	8.1%	5.8%	2.8%	1.0%
2	6.3%	9.1%	6.6%	3.2%	1.2%
3	4.7%	6.8%	4.9%	2.4%	0.9%
4	2.6%	3.8%	2.8%	1.3%	0.5%

Projected score: 2-1

RB Leipzig winDrawPSV Eindhoven win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven. Based on the bookmaker odds, a RB Leipzig win is the most likely result at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 72%. Both teams to score: yes at 69%.

📊 Key numbers

RB Leipzig 55%Draw 21%PSV Eindhoven 24%

55%21%24%

55%

RB Leipzig Win

72%

Over 2.5 goals

69%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Eintracht Frankfurt. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen.

WRB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
LBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
WRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
LComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
LWerder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Sparta Rotterdam. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Twente.

WPSV Eindhoven 2-0 HeerenveenEredivisie
LTwente 3-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League
WAjax 1-3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

RB Leipzig

C. BaumgartnerThigh Injury
M. GuiuHamstring Injury
A. KoneOff the roster
A. OuedraogoShoulder Injury
L. ZingerleOff the roster

PSV Eindhoven

S. LammersLacking Match Fitness
A. NagaloInjury
R. PepiInjury
A. PleaSurgery
J. SchoutenKnee Injury
K. SildilliaSurgery
P. WannerFoot Injury
S. OuaissaMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices RB Leipzig at 55% to win and PSV Eindhoven at 24%, with the draw at 21%. The bookmaker market makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
RB Leipzig Win	55%	@ 1.73
PSV Eindhoven Win	24%	@ 4.00
Draw	21%	@ 4.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is RB Leipzig or Draw at 1.22 (76% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
RB Leipzig or Draw	76%	@ 1.22
PSV Eindhoven or Draw	45%	@ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	@ 1.08
Over 2.5	72%	@ 1.33
Over 3.5	53%	@ 1.80
Under 3.5	47%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	12%	@ 8.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 69%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	69%	@ 1.36
BTTS No	31%	@ 3.00

📈 How the market moved

RB Leipzig 55%Draw 21%PSV Eindhoven 24%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a RB Leipzig win is the most likely result at 55%.

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our model makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.4 scoreline for RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven.

What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.25 for RB Leipzig and 1.45 for PSV Eindhoven. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do RB Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.