Shakhtar Donetsk

Wed 14 Oct19:00Upcoming

AEK Athens FC

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Shakhtar Donetsk face AEK Athens FC in the UEFA Champions League, kicking off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 37%, implying a 1.4-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Shakhtar Donetsk win	36%
Draw	27%
AEK Athens FC win	37%
Over 2.5 goals	50%
Both teams to score	56%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.35 – 1.35 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	9.1%	6.1%	2.8%	0.9%
1	9.1%	12.2%	8.3%	3.7%	1.3%
2	6.1%	8.3%	5.6%	2.5%	0.8%
3	2.8%	3.7%	2.5%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.3%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawAEK Athens FC win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC. Based on the bookmaker odds, an AEK Athens FC win is the most likely result at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 50%. Both teams to score: yes at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Shakhtar Donetsk 36%Draw 27%AEK Athens FC 37%

36%27%37%

37%

AEK Athens FC Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Veres Rivne. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WVeres Rivne 0-3 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
WShakhtar Donetsk 3-0 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
WShakhtar Donetsk 2-0 ChornomoretsPremier League
DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League
WKarpaty 1-2 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League

AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Aris Thessalonikis. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WAEK Athens FC 3-0 OFISuper League 1
WVolos NFC 1-2 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
WAEK Athens FC 1-0 Lask LinzUEFA Champions League
WAEK Athens FC 5-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Shakhtar Donetsk at 36% to win and AEK Athens FC at 37%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
AEK Athens FC Win	37%	@ 2.60
Shakhtar Donetsk Win	36%	@ 2.62
Draw	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AEK Athens FC or Draw at 1.44 (64% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
AEK Athens FC or Draw	64%	@ 1.44
Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw	63%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	70%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	30%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Shakhtar Donetsk 36%Draw 28%AEK Athens FC 36%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an AEK Athens FC win is the most likely result at 37%.

Who is the favourite for Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?

Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline for Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC.

What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.35 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.35 for AEK Athens FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens FC play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.