Wed 14 Oct19:00Upcoming

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Aston Villa face Fenerbahçe in the UEFA Champions League, kicking off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes an Aston Villa win the most likely result at 59%, implying a 2.0-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Aston Villa win	59%
Draw	24%
Fenerbahçe win	17%
Over 2.5 goals	59%
Both teams to score	56%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.00 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	5.0%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%
1	9.5%	9.9%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
2	9.5%	9.9%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
3	6.3%	6.6%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
4	3.2%	3.3%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Aston Villa winDrawFenerbahçe win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Aston Villa win is the most likely result at 59%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 59%. Both teams to score: yes at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Aston Villa 59%Draw 24%Fenerbahçe 17%

59%24%17%

59%

Aston Villa Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Aston Villa

Aston Villa come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Sevilla. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Nottingham Forest.

DAston Villa 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
WSevilla 1-3 Aston VillaFriendlies Clubs
WTottenham 2-3 Aston VillaPremier League
WCoventry 1-3 Aston VillaLeague Cup
LAston Villa 1-2 Nottingham ForestPremier League

Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 8-0 at home to Eyüpspor.

WRizespor 0-3 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
WTuran 0-2 FenerbahçeFriendlies Clubs
WFenerbahçe 8-0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
DGaziantep FK 0-0 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
DFenerbahçe 1-1 AS RomaUEFA Champions League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Aston Villa

M. CisseOff the roster
T. Harwood-BellisOff the roster
I. MaatsenAnkle Injury
B. MadjoOff the roster
A. OnanaKnee Injury
L. GoretzkaKnee Injury
M. RuggeriInjury

Fenerbahçe

A. DioufOff the roster
A. FallOff the roster
M. GuendouziSuspended (red card)
M. MuldurKnee Injury
J. OosterwoldeAchilles Tendon Injury
M. YandasOff the roster

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Aston Villa at 59% to win and Fenerbahçe at 17%, with the draw at 24%. The bookmaker market makes an Aston Villa win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Aston Villa Win	59%	@ 1.62
Draw	24%	@ 4.00
Fenerbahçe Win	17%	@ 5.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Aston Villa or Draw at 1.14 (83% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Aston Villa or Draw	83%	@ 1.14
Fenerbahçe or Draw	41%	@ 2.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	62%	@ 1.53
Over 2.5	59%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Aston Villa 58%Draw 23%Fenerbahçe 18%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Aston Villa win is the most likely result at 59%.

Who is the favourite for Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

Our model makes an Aston Villa win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline for Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 2.00 for Aston Villa and 1.05 for Fenerbahçe. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Aston Villa and Fenerbahçe play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.