Hertha BSCHertha BSC
Sat 10 Oct2-1Finished
SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Result: Hertha BSC 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth finished 2-1. Hertha BSC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Hertha BSC face SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Hertha BSC have 5 wins from their last 5, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Hertha BSC won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Hertha BSC win the most likely result at 61%, implying a 2.3-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Hertha BSC win 61%
Draw 22%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth win 18%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
Both teams to score 64%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.30 – 1.20 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.0% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.9% 8.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 8.0% 9.6% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7%
3 6.1% 7.3% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5%
4 3.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Projected score: 2-1
Hertha BSC winDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Hertha BSC win is the most likely result at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 67%. Both teams to score: yes at 64%.

📊 Key numbers

Hertha BSC 61%Draw 22%SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%
61%22%18%
61%
Hertha BSC Win
67%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Wins shown from Hertha BSC’s perspective: Hertha BSC 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-10-10 Hertha BSC 2 – 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth W
2026-05-10 Hertha BSC 2 – 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth W

📈 Recent form

Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Hertha Zehlendorf. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WHertha BSC 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • DFC Augsburg 2-2 Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs
  • WHertha Zehlendorf 1-3 Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs
  • WDynamo Dresden 1-2 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
  • WVfL Osnabrück 1-3 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Hertha BSC.

  • LHertha BSC 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • LVfB Stuttgart 5-0 SpVgg Greuther FürthFriendlies Clubs
  • DSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
  • DVfL Bochum 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • LSpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Hertha BSC at 61% to win and SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 18%, with the draw at 22%. The bookmaker market makes a Hertha BSC win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Hertha BSC Win 61% @ 1.53
Draw 21% @ 4.33
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win 18% @ 5.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hertha BSC or Draw at 1.17 (82% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Hertha BSC or Draw 82% @ 1.17
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw 39% @ 2.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.3-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 85% @ 1.11
Over 2.5 67% @ 1.40
Under 3.5 51% @ 1.80
Over 3.5 49% @ 1.91
Under 2.5 33% @ 2.88
Under 1.5 15% @ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 65% @ 1.44
BTTS No 35% @ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

14%40%65%10/0710/0810/0910/1010/11

Hertha BSC 61%Draw 21%SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Hertha BSC win is the most likely result at 61%.

Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our model makes a Hertha BSC win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.2 scoreline for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

What is the predicted score for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.30 for Hertha BSC and 1.20 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.