ModenaModena
Sat 10 Oct3-2Finished
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona

⚽ Serie B

Modena vs Hellas Verona Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Modena vs Hellas Verona in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Result: Modena 3-2 Hellas Verona

Modena vs Hellas Verona finished 3-2. Modena won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Modena face Hellas Verona in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Modena have 3 wins from their last 5, while Hellas Verona have 2 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Modena win the most likely result at 47%, implying a 1.5-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Modena vs Hellas Verona with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Modena win 47%
Draw 29%
Hellas Verona win 24%
Over 2.5 goals 46%
Both teams to score 50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.50 – 1.00 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 8.2% 8.2% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3%
1 12.3% 12.3% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5%
2 9.2% 9.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4%
3 4.6% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-0
Modena winDrawHellas Verona win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Modena vs Hellas Verona. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Modena win is the most likely result at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 54%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Modena 47%Draw 29%Hellas Verona 24%
47%29%24%
47%
Modena Win
54%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Modena

Modena come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Cremonese. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Avellino.

  • WModena 3-2 Hellas VeronaSerie B
  • WModena 2-1 EmpoliSerie B
  • DSudtirol 1-1 ModenaSerie B
  • LModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B
  • WCremonese 0-3 ModenaSerie B
Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Arezzo. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Modena.

  • LModena 3-2 Hellas VeronaSerie B
  • WFC Lugano 1-3 Hellas VeronaFriendlies Clubs
  • WHellas Verona 2-1 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
  • LBenevento 3-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
  • WHellas Verona 5-0 ArezzoSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Modena at 47% to win and Hellas Verona at 24%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes a Modena win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Modena Win 47% @ 2.00
Draw 29% @ 3.25
Hellas Verona Win 24% @ 3.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Modena or Draw at 1.25 (76% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Modena or Draw 76% @ 1.25
Hellas Verona or Draw 53% @ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Under 3.5 73% @ 1.28
Over 1.5 72% @ 1.30
Under 2.5 54% @ 1.75
Over 2.5 46% @ 2.05
Under 1.5 28% @ 3.40
Over 3.5 27% @ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 50% @ 1.91
BTTS No 50% @ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

19%36%52%10/0710/0810/0910/1010/11

Modena 46%Draw 30%Hellas Verona 24%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Modena vs Hellas Verona?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Modena win is the most likely result at 47%.

Who is the favourite for Modena vs Hellas Verona?

Our model makes a Modena win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline for Modena vs Hellas Verona.

What is the predicted score for Modena vs Hellas Verona?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.50 for Modena and 1.00 for Hellas Verona. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Modena and Hellas Verona play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.