Padova

Sat 10 Oct0-2Finished

Carrarese

⚽ Serie B

Padova vs Carrarese Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Padova vs Carrarese in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Padova 0-2 Carrarese

Padova vs Carrarese finished 0-2. Carrarese won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Padova face Carrarese in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Padova have 2 wins from their last 5, while Carrarese have no wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Padova win the most likely result at 49%, implying a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Padova vs Carrarese with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Padova win	49%
Draw	28%
Carrarese win	23%
Over 2.5 goals	50%
Both teams to score	53%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.60 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	7.4%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
1	11.3%	11.9%	6.2%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.5%	5.0%	1.7%	0.5%
3	4.8%	5.1%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.9%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Padova winDrawCarrarese win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Padova vs Carrarese. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Padova win is the most likely result at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 50%. Both teams to score: yes at 53%.

📊 Key numbers

Padova 49%Draw 28%Carrarese 23%

49%28%23%

49%

Padova Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Padova

Padova come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Ascoli. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Carrarese.

LPadova 0-2 CarrareseSerie B
LPalermo 2-1 PadovaSerie B
WPadova 1-0 AscoliSerie B
LCremonese 3-1 PadovaSerie B
DPadova 1-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B

Carrarese

Carrarese come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Padova. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Benevento.

WPadova 0-2 CarrareseSerie B
LCarrarese 0-1 BeneventoSerie B
LCatanzaro 1-0 CarrareseSerie B
LCarrarese 0-1 EmpoliSerie B
DAscoli 1-1 CarrareseSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Padova at 49% to win and Carrarese at 23%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes a Padova win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Padova Win	49%	@ 1.91
Draw	28%	@ 3.40
Carrarese Win	23%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Padova or Draw at 1.22 (77% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Padova or Draw	77%	@ 1.22
Carrarese or Draw	51%	@ 1.83

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	71%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	50%	@ 1.90
Under 2.5	50%	@ 1.90
Over 3.5	29%	@ 3.25
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Padova 50%Draw 28%Carrarese 22%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Padova vs Carrarese?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Padova win is the most likely result at 49%.

Who is the favourite for Padova vs Carrarese?

Our model makes a Padova win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Padova vs Carrarese.

What is the predicted score for Padova vs Carrarese?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Padova and 1.05 for Carrarese. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Padova and Carrarese play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.