⚽ Premier League
Brighton vs Crystal Palace Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Brighton vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Brighton face Crystal Palace in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Brighton have 3 wins from their last 5, while Crystal Palace have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Brighton won 1, Crystal Palace won 3, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Brighton win the most likely result at 60%, implying a 2.0-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Brighton vs Crystal Palace with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Brighton win | 60% |
| Draw | 22% |
| Crystal Palace win | 18% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Brighton vs Crystal Palace. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Brighton win is the most likely result at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 60%. Both teams to score: yes at 56%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Brighton and Crystal Palace. Wins shown from Brighton’s perspective: Brighton 1 · 1 drawn · Crystal Palace 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Brighton | 0 – 1 | Crystal Palace | L |
| 2025-11-09 | Crystal Palace | 0 – 0 | Brighton | D |
| 2025-04-05 | Crystal Palace | 2 – 1 | Brighton | L |
| 2024-12-15 | Brighton | 1 – 3 | Crystal Palace | L |
| 2024-02-03 | Brighton | 4 – 1 | Crystal Palace | W |
📈 Recent form
Brighton come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Coventry. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WSunderland 0-2 BrightonPremier League
- WBrighton 3-0 ArsenalPremier League
- WManchester United 2-3 BrightonLeague Cup
- WCoventry 0-5 BrightonPremier League
- DBrighton 1-1 LeedsPremier League
Crystal Palace come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Lech Poznan. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Bristol City.
- WCrystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham ForestPremier League
- LCrystal Palace 0-2 Bristol CityFriendlies Clubs
- DLeeds 0-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
- WCrystal Palace 4-0 Lech PoznanUEFA Europa League
- LCrystal Palace 2-3 IpswichPremier League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Brighton at 60% to win and Crystal Palace at 18%, with the draw at 22%. The bookmaker market makes a Brighton win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton Win | 60% | @ 1.53 |
| Draw | 22% | @ 4.20 |
| Crystal Palace Win | 18% | @ 5.25 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Brighton or Draw at 1.17 (82% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton or Draw | 82% | @ 1.17 |
| Crystal Palace or Draw | 40% | @ 2.38 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 44% | @ 2.10 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Brighton win is the most likely result at 60%.
Who is the favourite for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Our model makes a Brighton win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline for Brighton vs Crystal Palace.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.05 for Brighton and 1.05 for Crystal Palace. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Brighton and Crystal Palace play?
Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


