⚽ Championship
Millwall vs Lincoln Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Millwall vs Lincoln in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.
Result: Millwall 2-2 Lincoln
Millwall vs Lincoln finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Millwall face Lincoln in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Millwall have 2 wins from their last 5, while Lincoln have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Millwall win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 0.9-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Millwall vs Lincoln with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.2% | 15.2% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Millwall vs Lincoln comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is Lincoln with a +1.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Millwall win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points no (64%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Millwall come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Preston. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Swansea.
- DMillwall 2-2 LincolnChampionship
- LMillwall 0-1 SwanseaChampionship
- WPreston 0-1 MillwallChampionship
- DMillwall 2-2 West HamChampionship
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 MillwallChampionship
Lincoln come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Bristol City. Their most recent defeat was 0-6 at home to West Ham.
- DMillwall 2-2 LincolnChampionship
- LLincoln 0-6 West HamChampionship
- LSheffield Utd 3-0 LincolnChampionship
- LLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship
- WBristol City 0-1 LincolnChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. ArconteAnkle Injury
- J. CoburnMuscle Injury
- C. De NorreMuscle Injury
- M. IvanovicHamstring Injury
- L. JensenMuscle Injury
- M. LuongoKnee Injury
- M. ServaisNot in squad
- T. DarikwaKnee Injury
- T. HamerSuspended (red card)
- C. McGrandlesSuspended (red card)
- M. MeliaThigh Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Millwall at 42% to win and Lincoln at 27%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Millwall win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall Win | 42% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Draw | 31% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Lincoln Win | 27% | 16% | @ 5.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Millwall or Draw at 1.14 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall or Draw | 70% | 84% | @ 1.14 |
| Lincoln or Draw | 56% | 40% | @ 2.30 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 72% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 89% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 72% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Over 1.5 | 54% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 46% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 28% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 64% | 50% | @ 1.83 |
| BTTS Yes | 36% | 50% | @ 1.83 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Millwall or Lincoln is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln +2 | 85% | – | @ 1.22 |
| Lincoln +1.75 | 82% | 71% | @ 1.35 |
| Millwall +1 | 79% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Lincoln +1.5 | 78% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Millwall +0.75 | 75% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Lincoln +1.25 | 73% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Millwall +0.5 | 70% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Lincoln +1 | 67% | 53% | @ 1.83 |
| Millwall +0.25 | 64% | 80% | 1.20 |
| Lincoln +0.75 | 62% | 45% | @ 2.14 |
| Millwall 0 | 57% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Lincoln +0.5 | 56% | 39% | @ 2.44 |
| Millwall -0.25 | 51% | 68% | 1.40 |
| Lincoln +0.25 | 49% | 32% | @ 2.98 |
| Millwall -0.5 | 44% | 61% | 1.57 |
| Lincoln 0 | 43% | 22% | @ 4.30 |
| Millwall -0.75 | 38% | 55% | 1.73 |
| Lincoln -0.25 | 36% | 20% | @ 4.73 |
| Millwall -1 | 33% | 47% | 2.04 |
| Lincoln -0.5 | 30% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Millwall -1.25 | 27% | 41% | 2.35 |
| Lincoln -0.75 | 25% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| Millwall -1.5 | 22% | 36% | 2.67 |
| Lincoln -1 | 21% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Millwall -1.75 | 18% | 29% | 3.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Millwall vs Lincoln?
Our pick is Lincoln with a +1.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Millwall vs Lincoln?
Our model makes a Millwall win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 0.9-0.9 scoreline for Millwall vs Lincoln.
What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Lincoln?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-0, based on expected goals of 0.88 for Millwall and 0.94 for Lincoln. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Millwall and Lincoln play?
Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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