⚽ Championship
Watford vs Charlton Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Watford vs Charlton in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.
Result: Watford 2-0 Charlton
Watford vs Charlton finished 2-0. Watford won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Watford face Charlton in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Watford have 1 win from their last 5, while Charlton have no wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Watford won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Watford win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Watford vs Charlton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 7.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Watford vs Charlton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is Watford with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Watford win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Watford and Charlton. Wins shown from Watford’s perspective: Watford 1 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Watford | 2 – 0 | Charlton | W |
| 2026-04-06 | Watford | 1 – 1 | Charlton | D |
📈 Recent form
Watford come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Charlton. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at Cardiff.
- WWatford 2-0 CharltonChampionship
- LCardiff 5-1 WatfordChampionship
- LWatford 0-4 BurnleyChampionship
- LBristol City 1-0 WatfordChampionship
- LWatford 1-2 Stoke CityChampionship
Charlton come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Watford.
- LWatford 2-0 CharltonChampionship
- DBurnley 2-2 CharltonChampionship
- DCharlton 1-1 Bristol CityChampionship
- LCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship
- DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. AkomeahLacking Match Fitness
- M. AntonioNot in squad
- K. BaahKnock
- E. BoveKnee Injury
- J. NgakiaThigh Injury
- R. ApterKnee Injury
- N. ChalobahMuscle Injury
- M. GoddenMuscle Injury
- C. SichenjeKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Watford at 36% to win and Charlton at 33%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Watford win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford Win | 36% | 38% | @ 2.45 |
| Charlton Win | 33% | 33% | @ 2.80 |
| Draw | 31% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Watford or Draw at 1.40 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford or Draw | 64% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Charlton or Draw | 62% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 77% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 75% | @ 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 1.5 | 30% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 51% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Watford or Charlton is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton +1.75 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Watford +1.5 | 84% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Charlton +1.5 | 83% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Watford +1.25 | 80% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Charlton +1.25 | 78% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Watford +1 | 74% | – | 1.19 |
| Charlton +1 | 72% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Watford +0.75 | 70% | 72% | 1.33 |
| Charlton +0.75 | 67% | 69% | 1.39 |
| Watford +0.5 | 64% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Charlton +0.5 | 62% | 63% | 1.52 |
| Watford +0.25 | 58% | 60% | 1.61 |
| Charlton +0.25 | 55% | 57% | 1.69 |
| Watford 0 | 51% | 53% | 1.84 |
| Charlton 0 | 49% | 47% | @ 2.06 |
| Watford -0.25 | 45% | 43% | 2.21 |
| Charlton -0.25 | 42% | 40% | 2.37 |
| Watford -0.5 | 38% | 37% | 2.56 |
| Charlton -0.5 | 36% | 35% | 2.73 |
| Watford -0.75 | 33% | 31% | @ 3.09 |
| Charlton -0.75 | 30% | 28% | @ 3.39 |
| Watford -1 | 28% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Watford -1.25 | 22% | 21% | 4.46 |
| Charlton -1.25 | 20% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Watford -1.5 | 17% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Charlton -1.5 | 16% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Watford -1.75 | 14% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Watford vs Charlton?
Our pick is Watford with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Watford vs Charlton?
Our model makes a Watford win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for Watford vs Charlton.
What is the predicted score for Watford vs Charlton?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.34 for Watford and 1.11 for Charlton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Watford and Charlton play?
Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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