⚽ Championship
Wrexham vs Preston Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Wrexham vs Preston in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Wrexham 4-1 Preston
Wrexham vs Preston finished 4-1. Wrexham won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Wrexham face Preston in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Wrexham have 1 win from their last 5, while Preston have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Wrexham win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Wrexham vs Preston with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Wrexham vs Preston comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is Preston with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Wrexham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (55%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Wrexham come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Preston. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to West Brom.
- WWrexham 4-1 PrestonChampionship
- LWrexham 1-2 West BromChampionship
- DDerby 1-1 WrexhamChampionship
- WWrexham 2-1 SouthamptonChampionship
- LWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship
Preston come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Wrexham.
- LWrexham 4-1 PrestonChampionship
- LBirmingham 4-0 PrestonChampionship
- LPreston 0-1 MillwallChampionship
- DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
- LPreston 0-1 LincolnChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. BroadheadThigh Injury
- L. CacaceCalf Injury
- M. CleworthMuscle Injury
- S. RevanHamstring Injury
- B. SheafInjury
- G. ThomasonThigh Injury
- J. WindassAnkle Injury
- T. CarrollAnkle Injury
- H. ClarkeKnee Injury
- L. GibbsMuscle Injury
- A. McCannHamstring Injury
- S. MillsSuspended (red card)
- C. WileyNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Wrexham at 45% to win and Preston at 21%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a Wrexham win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham Win | 45% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Draw | 34% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Preston Win | 21% | 20% | @ 4.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Wrexham or Draw at 1.18 (74% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham or Draw | 74% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Preston or Draw | 51% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 75% | @ 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 45% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Wrexham or Preston is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston +2 | 82% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Wrexham +0.75 | 78% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Preston +1.75 | 78% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Wrexham +0.5 | 74% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Preston +1.5 | 74% | 67% | @ 1.42 |
| Preston +1.25 | 68% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Wrexham +0.25 | 68% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Preston +1 | 62% | 57% | @ 1.69 |
| Wrexham 0 | 62% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Preston +0.75 | 57% | 49% | @ 1.98 |
| Wrexham -0.25 | 56% | 64% | 1.48 |
| Preston +0.5 | 51% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Wrexham -0.5 | 49% | 57% | 1.69 |
| Preston +0.25 | 44% | 36% | @ 2.68 |
| Wrexham -0.75 | 43% | 51% | 1.90 |
| Preston 0 | 38% | 25% | @ 3.73 |
| Wrexham -1 | 38% | 43% | 2.20 |
| Preston -0.25 | 32% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
| Wrexham -1.25 | 32% | 38% | 2.52 |
| Wrexham -1.5 | 26% | 33% | 2.85 |
| Preston -0.5 | 26% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| Wrexham -1.75 | 22% | 27% | 3.57 |
| Preston -0.75 | 22% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Wrexham -2 | 18% | 20% | 4.65 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Wrexham vs Preston?
Our pick is Preston with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Wrexham vs Preston?
Our model makes a Wrexham win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Wrexham vs Preston.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Preston?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.64 for Wrexham and 1.13 for Preston. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Wrexham and Preston play?
Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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