⚽ Championship
Swansea vs West Ham Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Swansea vs West Ham in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Swansea 0-1 West Ham
Swansea vs West Ham finished 0-1. West Ham won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Swansea face West Ham in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Swansea have 3 wins from their last 5, while West Ham have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Swansea win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.6-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Swansea vs West Ham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Swansea vs West Ham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is Swansea with a +1 start at odds 1.31, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Swansea win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (68%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Swansea come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Burnley. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to West Ham.
- LSwansea 0-1 West HamChampionship
- WMillwall 0-1 SwanseaChampionship
- WSwansea 2-1 NorwichChampionship
- WLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship
- WSwansea 3-1 BurnleyChampionship
West Ham come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Lincoln. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Fulham.
- WSwansea 0-1 West HamChampionship
- WLincoln 0-6 West HamChampionship
- DWest Ham 1-1 QPRChampionship
- DMillwall 2-2 West HamChampionship
- LWest Ham 2-3 FulhamLeague Cup
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- C. BurgessAchilles Tendon Injury
- J. KeyMuscle Injury
- F. LissahSuspended (cards)
- K. LamadridInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Swansea at 42% to win and West Ham at 33%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Swansea win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea Win | 42% | 32% | @ 2.90 |
| West Ham Win | 33% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Swansea or Draw at 1.67 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea or Draw | 68% | 58% | @ 1.67 |
| West Ham or Draw | 59% | 68% | @ 1.36 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 | 54% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 32% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Swansea or West Ham is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea +1.75 | 89% | 83% | @ 1.15 |
| Swansea +1.5 | 86% | 77% | @ 1.23 |
| West Ham +1.75 | 84% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Swansea +1.25 | 82% | 76% | @ 1.26 |
| West Ham +1.5 | 80% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Swansea +1 | 77% | 72% | @ 1.31 |
| West Ham +1.25 | 75% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Swansea +0.75 | 72% | 65% | @ 1.48 |
| West Ham +1 | 70% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Swansea +0.5 | 68% | 58% | @ 1.65 |
| West Ham +0.75 | 64% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Swansea +0.25 | 61% | 52% | @ 1.86 |
| West Ham +0.5 | 59% | 67% | 1.42 |
| Swansea 0 | 54% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| West Ham +0.25 | 52% | 63% | 1.52 |
| Swansea -0.25 | 48% | 37% | @ 2.54 |
| West Ham 0 | 46% | 57% | 1.69 |
| Swansea -0.5 | 41% | 33% | @ 2.90 |
| West Ham -0.25 | 39% | 48% | 2.02 |
| Swansea -0.75 | 36% | 26% | @ 3.61 |
| West Ham -0.5 | 32% | 42% | 2.27 |
| Swansea -1 | 30% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| West Ham -0.75 | 28% | 35% | 2.69 |
| Swansea -1.25 | 25% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| West Ham -1 | 23% | 28% | 3.46 |
| Swansea -1.5 | 20% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| West Ham -1.25 | 18% | 24% | 3.88 |
| Swansea -1.75 | 16% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| West Ham -1.5 | 14% | 23% | 4.10 |
| West Ham -1.75 | 11% | 17% | 5.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Swansea vs West Ham?
Our pick is Swansea with a +1 start at odds 1.31, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Swansea vs West Ham?
Our model makes a Swansea win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.8 scoreline for Swansea vs West Ham.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs West Ham?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.65 for Swansea and 1.84 for West Ham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Swansea and West Ham play?
Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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