⚽ UEFA Champions League
Aston Villa vs Viking Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Aston Villa vs Viking in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Aston Villa 3-1 Viking
Aston Villa vs Viking finished 3-1. Aston Villa won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Aston Villa face Viking in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes an Aston Villa win the most likely result at 78%, implying a 3.0-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Aston Villa vs Viking with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Aston Villa vs Viking comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Viking with a +2 start at odds 1.96, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Aston Villa win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (52%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Aston Villa come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Fenerbahçe. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WAston Villa 3-1 VikingUEFA Champions League
- WNewcastle 0-1 Aston VillaPremier League
- WAston Villa 6-0 FenerbahçeUEFA Champions League
- DAston Villa 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
- WSevilla 1-3 Aston VillaFriendlies Clubs
Viking come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Madla. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Aston Villa.
- LAston Villa 3-1 VikingUEFA Champions League
- WViking 3-2 FredrikstadEliteserien
- DViking 3-3 Bayern MunichUEFA Champions League
- WBrann 0-2 VikingEliteserien
- WMadla 0-3 VikingNM Cupen
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 14 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. CisseOff the roster
- B. MadjoOff the roster
- J. ManzambiCalf Injury
- A. OnanaKnee Injury
- M. RuggeriMuscle Injury
- A. Wan-BissakaMuscle Injury
- A. BaertelsenFoot Injury
- V. BerishaThigh Injury
- S. BjorsholKnee Injury
- N. D'AgostinoLeg Injury
- K. FrimpongOff the roster
- M. RosethKnee Injury
- H. FalchenerKnee Injury
- K. HaugenLeg Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Aston Villa at 58% to win and Viking at 17%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes an Aston Villa win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa Win | 58% | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Draw | 24% | 15% | @ 6.50 |
| Viking Win | 17% | 8% | @ 12.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Aston Villa or Draw at 1.05 (82% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa or Draw | 82% | 92% | @ 1.05 |
| Viking or Draw | 41% | 22% | @ 4.00 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.0-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 89% | @ 1.07 |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 75% | @ 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 | 57% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 11% | @ 9.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Aston Villa or Viking is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viking +2 | 74% | 49% | @ 1.96 |
| Viking +1.75 | 70% | 44% | @ 2.16 |
| Viking +1.5 | 65% | 40% | @ 2.40 |
| Aston Villa -0.25 | 65% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Aston Villa -0.5 | 59% | 77% | 1.23 |
| Viking +1.25 | 59% | 33% | @ 2.81 |
| Aston Villa -0.75 | 53% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Viking +1 | 53% | 26% | @ 3.59 |
| Aston Villa -1 | 47% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Viking +0.75 | 47% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
| Aston Villa -1.25 | 41% | 67% | 1.42 |
| Viking +0.5 | 41% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
| Viking +0.25 | 35% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Aston Villa -1.5 | 35% | 60% | 1.57 |
| Aston Villa -1.75 | 30% | 56% | 1.70 |
| Aston Villa -2 | 26% | 51% | 1.91 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Viking?
Our model's pick is Viking with a +2 start at odds 1.96, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 49%.
Who is the favourite for Aston Villa vs Viking?
Our model makes an Aston Villa win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 3.0-0.9 scoreline for Aston Villa vs Viking.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Viking?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.96 for Aston Villa and 0.91 for Viking. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Aston Villa and Viking play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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