⚽ UEFA Champions League
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Inter 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk finished 1-0. Inter won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Inter face Shakhtar Donetsk in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes an Inter win the most likely result at 79%, implying a 3.0-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 9.4% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Shakhtar Donetsk with a +2 start at odds 2.00, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Inter win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (54%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Inter come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Parma. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 3-4 at home to Club Brugge KV.
- WInter 1-0 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League
- WBologna 1-3 InterSerie A
- LInter 3-4 Club Brugge KVUEFA Champions League
- WInter 3-0 ParmaSerie A
- WInter 2-0 LumezzaneFriendlies Clubs
Shakhtar Donetsk come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Veres Rivne. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Inter.
- LInter 1-0 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League
- WShakhtar Donetsk 2-1 Kolos KovalivkaPremier League
- WShakhtar Donetsk 3-1 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League
- WVeres Rivne 0-3 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
- WShakhtar Donetsk 3-0 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 14 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- C. JonesThigh Injury
- L. MartinezThigh Injury
- B. PavardThigh Injury
- J. StonesInjury
- I. AzaroviKnee Injury
- EguinaldoShoulder Injury
- K. FesyunIllness
- A. GhramInjury
- V. KorniyenkoOff the roster
- MarlonMuscle Injury
- P. ObahOff the roster
- T. PuzankovOff the roster
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Inter at 51% to win and Shakhtar Donetsk at 19%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes an Inter win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Win | 51% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Win | 19% | 7% | @ 13.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter or Draw at 1.04 (78% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter or Draw | 78% | 93% | @ 1.04 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw | 46% | 21% | @ 4.33 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.0-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 88% | @ 1.08 |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 75% | @ 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 12% | @ 8.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 46% | 45% | @ 2.05 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Inter or Shakhtar Donetsk is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk +2 | 79% | 49% | @ 2.00 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk +1.75 | 75% | 43% | @ 2.23 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk +1.5 | 71% | 39% | @ 2.44 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk +1.25 | 64% | 32% | @ 2.90 |
| Inter -0.25 | 60% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk +1 | 58% | 25% | @ 3.73 |
| Inter -0.5 | 54% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk +0.75 | 52% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Inter -0.75 | 48% | 76% | 1.24 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk +0.5 | 46% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Inter -1 | 42% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk +0.25 | 40% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Inter -1.25 | 36% | 68% | 1.40 |
| Inter -1.5 | 29% | 61% | 1.55 |
| Inter -1.75 | 25% | 57% | 1.67 |
| Inter -2 | 21% | 51% | 1.88 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our model's pick is Shakhtar Donetsk with a +2 start at odds 2.00, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 49%.
Who is the favourite for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our model makes an Inter win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 3.0-0.9 scoreline for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.99 for Inter and 0.88 for Shakhtar Donetsk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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