⚽ UEFA Europa League
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Lech Poznan face Sunderland in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Sunderland win the most likely result at 55%, implying a 1.0-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Lech Poznan win | 21% |
| Draw | 24% |
| Sunderland win | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Lech Poznan vs Sunderland. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Sunderland win is the most likely result at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 53%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Lech Poznan come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at home to Korona Kielce. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at home to Bayer Leverkusen.
- WLech Poznan 6-1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
- LLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa League
- WSlask Wroclaw 1-4 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
- DLech Poznan 2-2 Energie CottbusFriendlies Clubs
- WLech Poznan 5-1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Sunderland come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Torreense. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Bournemouth.
- LBournemouth 2-0 SunderlandPremier League
- WTorreense 1-2 SunderlandUEFA Europa League
- LSunderland 0-2 BrightonPremier League
- LManchester City 5-3 SunderlandPremier League
- WSunderland 1-0 AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 15 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. DouglasAnkle Injury
- A. GholizadehKnee Injury
- J. MoutinhoNot in squad
- A. SayyadmaneshGroin Injury
- R. GumnyNot in squad
- W. MonkaInjury
- J. AnguloOff the roster
- A. BrowneOff the roster
- M. EllborgOff the roster
- R. MundleKnee Injury
- J. Ta BiOff the roster
- C. TalbiOff the roster
- D. BallardMuscle Injury
- W. IsidorInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Lech Poznan at 21% to win and Sunderland at 55%, with the draw at 24%. The bookmaker market makes a Sunderland win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland Win | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Lech Poznan Win | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sunderland or Draw at 1.18 (79% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland or Draw | 79% | @ 1.18 |
| Lech Poznan or Draw | 45% | @ 2.10 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.0-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | @ 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | @ 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 48% | @ 1.95 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Sunderland win is the most likely result at 55%.
Who is the favourite for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Our model makes a Sunderland win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.8 scoreline for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 1.00 for Lech Poznan and 1.75 for Sunderland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Lech Poznan and Sunderland play?
Kick-off is Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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