⚽ UEFA Europa League
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Dinamo Zagreb face NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely result at 58%, implying a 2.0-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb win | 58% |
| Draw | 23% |
| NEC Nijmegen win | 19% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Dinamo Zagreb win is the most likely result at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 60%. Both teams to score: yes at 58%.
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Dinamo Zagreb come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at NK Slaven Belupo. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at HNK Hajduk Split.
- WNK Slaven Belupo 1-5 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
- WDinamo Zagreb 1-0 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League
- LHNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
- WVukovar 0-4 Dinamo ZagrebCup
- DHapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League
NEC Nijmegen come into this game with no wins and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. They are unbeaten in 4. Their only defeat in that run was 0-5 at Juventus.
- DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski SofiaUEFA Europa League
- DAjax 1-1 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- LJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 14 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- R. MudrazijaOff the roster
- I. NevisticOff the roster
- N. NsokiOff the roster
- A. StojakovicFoot Injury
- P. TabinasOff the roster
- F. TopicOff the roster
- M. BakkerOff the roster
- I. Hansen-AaroenOff the roster
- E. MorGroin Injury
- B. NuytinckAnkle Injury
- P. SandlerInjury
- A. TahauiOff the roster
- A. ThomasSuspended
- D. TadicCalf Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Dinamo Zagreb at 58% to win and NEC Nijmegen at 19%, with the draw at 23%. The bookmaker market makes a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb Win | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | @ 4.20 |
| NEC Nijmegen Win | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dinamo Zagreb or Draw at 1.17 (81% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb or Draw | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| NEC Nijmegen or Draw | 42% | @ 2.25 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 42% | @ 2.20 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Dinamo Zagreb win is the most likely result at 58%.
Who is the favourite for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our model makes a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.05 for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.10 for NEC Nijmegen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen play?
Kick-off is Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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