Thu 22 Oct19:00Upcoming

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Bournemouth vs AC Milan Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bournemouth vs AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Bournemouth face AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 49%, implying a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bournemouth vs AC Milan with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Bournemouth win	49%
Draw	25%
AC Milan win	26%
Over 2.5 goals	55%
Both teams to score	58%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.70 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	6.6%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.4%	11.2%	6.7%	2.7%	0.8%
2	8.0%	9.5%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.5%	5.4%	3.2%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.9%	2.3%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Bournemouth winDrawAC Milan win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Bournemouth vs AC Milan. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Bournemouth win is the most likely result at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 58%.

📊 Key numbers

Bournemouth 49%Draw 25%AC Milan 26%

49%25%26%

49%

Bournemouth Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Bournemouth

Bournemouth come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Sturm Graz. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at Chelsea.

WBournemouth 2-0 SunderlandPremier League
WBournemouth 3-0 Sturm GrazUEFA Europa League
LChelsea 5-1 BournemouthPremier League
LBournemouth 0-1 LiverpoolPremier League
WReal Sociedad 1-2 BournemouthUEFA Europa League

AC Milan

AC Milan come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Red Bull Salzburg. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Benfica.

WAC Milan 3-2 AtalantaSerie A
WRed Bull Salzburg 0-4 AC MilanUEFA Europa League
DSassuolo 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
WAC Milan 3-0 LecceSerie A
LAC Milan 0-2 BenficaUEFA Europa League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bournemouth

M. AaronsOff the roster
J. AraujoThigh Injury
F. ForsterOff the roster
D. JebbisonOff the roster
E. J. KroupiFoot Injury
V. MilosavljevicOff the roster
J. SanchezOff the roster
A. ScottThigh Injury

AC Milan

W. BondoOff the roster
M. GabbiaThigh Injury
A. SaelemaekersAnkle Injury
F. TerraccianoSuspended (red card)

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bournemouth at 49% to win and AC Milan at 26%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes a Bournemouth win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Bournemouth Win	49%	@ 1.95
AC Milan Win	26%	@ 3.60
Draw	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bournemouth or Draw at 1.28 (74% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Bournemouth or Draw	74%	@ 1.28
AC Milan or Draw	51%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	55%	@ 1.73
Under 2.5	45%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	42%	@ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

Bournemouth 48%Draw 25%AC Milan 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs AC Milan?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Bournemouth win is the most likely result at 49%.

Who is the favourite for Bournemouth vs AC Milan?

Our model makes a Bournemouth win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Bournemouth vs AC Milan.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs AC Milan?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Bournemouth and 1.20 for AC Milan. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bournemouth and AC Milan play?

Kick-off is Thursday 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.