Sat 24 Oct16:30Upcoming

⚽ Premier League

Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chelsea vs Tottenham in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Chelsea face Tottenham in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Chelsea have 2 wins from their last 5, while Tottenham have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Chelsea won 4, Tottenham won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Chelsea win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 2.0-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chelsea vs Tottenham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.53

65%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.99 – 1.35 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	4.8%	3.2%	1.5%	0.5%
1	7.1%	9.5%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
2	7.0%	9.5%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
3	4.7%	6.3%	4.2%	1.9%	0.6%
4	2.3%	3.1%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Chelsea winDrawTottenham win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Chelsea vs Tottenham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 65% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Chelsea win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Chelsea 52%Draw 26%Tottenham 23%

52%26%23%

52%

Chelsea Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Chelsea and Tottenham. Wins shown from Chelsea’s perspective: Chelsea 4 · Tottenham 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-01	Chelsea	1 – 2	Tottenham	L
2026-05-19	Chelsea	2 – 1	Tottenham	W
2025-11-01	Tottenham	0 – 1	Chelsea	W
2025-04-03	Chelsea	1 – 0	Tottenham	W
2024-12-08	Tottenham	3 – 4	Chelsea	W

📈 Recent form

Chelsea

Chelsea come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Bournemouth. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Brentford.

WEverton 0-2 ChelseaPremier League
WChelsea 5-1 BournemouthPremier League
LBrentford 3-0 ChelseaPremier League
DChelsea 2-2 Hull CityPremier League
WChelsea 6-3 LeedsLeague Cup

Tottenham

Tottenham come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Coventry. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Aston Villa.

WTottenham 3-1 CoventryPremier League
DManchester United 1-1 TottenhamPremier League
LTottenham 2-3 Aston VillaPremier League
LLiverpool 3-1 TottenhamLeague Cup
DTottenham 0-0 EvertonPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Chelsea at 52% to win and Tottenham at 23%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Chelsea win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Chelsea Win	52%	54%	@ 1.70
Draw	26%	23%	@ 4.00
Tottenham Win	23%	23%	@ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Chelsea or Draw at 1.22 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Chelsea or Draw	77%	77%	@ 1.22
Tottenham or Draw	48%	46%	@ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	65%	62%	@ 1.53
Under 3.5	57%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 3.5	43%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 2.5	35%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	15%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	36%	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Chelsea 54%Draw 23%Tottenham 23%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Tottenham?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 65% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

Who is the favourite for Chelsea vs Tottenham?

Our model makes a Chelsea win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.4 scoreline for Chelsea vs Tottenham.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Tottenham?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.99 for Chelsea and 1.35 for Tottenham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Chelsea and Tottenham play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.