Sat 24 Oct19:30Upcoming

⚽ Primeira Liga

Gil Vicente vs FC Porto Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gil Vicente vs FC Porto in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Gil Vicente face FC Porto in the Primeira Liga, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC. Recent form: Gil Vicente have 1 win from their last 5, while FC Porto have 5 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Gil Vicente won 1, FC Porto won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Porto win the most likely result at 69%, projecting a 0.8-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gil Vicente vs FC Porto with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

72%Bookmaker odds imply 72%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.84 – 1.59 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	14.0%	11.1%	5.9%	2.3%
1	7.4%	11.8%	9.3%	5.0%	2.0%
2	3.1%	4.9%	3.9%	2.1%	0.8%
3	0.9%	1.4%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Gil Vicente winDrawFC Porto win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Gil Vicente vs FC Porto comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a FC Porto win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 69%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Gil Vicente 11%Draw 20%FC Porto 69%

11%20%69%

69%

FC Porto Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Gil Vicente and FC Porto. Wins shown from Gil Vicente’s perspective: Gil Vicente 1 · 1 drawn · FC Porto 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-26	FC Porto	3 – 0	Gil Vicente	L
2025-08-18	Gil Vicente	0 – 2	FC Porto	L
2025-01-19	Gil Vicente	3 – 1	FC Porto	W
2024-08-10	FC Porto	3 – 0	Gil Vicente	L
2024-02-25	Gil Vicente	1 – 1	FC Porto	D

📈 Recent form

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Moreirense. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Benfica.

DUnião Santarém 2-2 Gil VicenteTaça de Portugal
WMoreirense 0-1 Gil VicentePrimeira Liga
DGil Vicente 1-1 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
LBenfica 3-1 Gil VicentePrimeira Liga
LGil Vicente 0-1 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga

FC Porto

FC Porto come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Casa Pia. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to PSV Eindhoven.

LFC Porto 0-1 PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League
LReal Betis 3-2 FC PortoUEFA Champions League
WMarítimo 1-2 FC PortoPrimeira Liga
WFC Porto 3-1 BenficaPrimeira Liga
WCasa Pia 1-4 FC PortoPrimeira Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Gil Vicente at 11% to win and FC Porto at 69%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a FC Porto win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Porto Win	69%	65%	@ 1.42
Draw	20%	22%	@ 4.20
Gil Vicente Win	11%	12%	@ 7.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Porto or Draw at 1.10 (88% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Porto or Draw	88%	88%	@ 1.10
Gil Vicente or Draw	30%	35%	@ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	72%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	70%	73%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	56%	51%	@ 1.85
Over 2.5	44%	49%	@ 1.95
Under 1.5	30%	27%	@ 3.50
Over 3.5	23%	28%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	56%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS Yes	44%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Gil Vicente 13%Draw 22%FC Porto 65%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gil Vicente vs FC Porto?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Gil Vicente vs FC Porto?

Our model makes a FC Porto win the most likely result at 69%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.6 scoreline for Gil Vicente vs FC Porto.

What is the predicted score for Gil Vicente vs FC Porto?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.84 for Gil Vicente and 1.59 for FC Porto. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Gil Vicente and FC Porto play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.